研究生: |
向上 SHANG, XIANG |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
週選擇權對波動率指數VIX的影響及其信息內容 VIX with Weekly Options and Its Information Content |
指導教授: |
張焯然
Chang, Jow-Ran |
口試委員: |
蔡璧徽
Tsai, Bi-Huei 張焯然 Chang, Jow-Ran 索樂晴 So, Leh-Chyan |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系 Department of Quantitative Finance |
論文出版年: | 2014 |
畢業學年度: | 102 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 34 |
中文關鍵詞: | VIX指數 、週選擇權 、波動率 、期限結構 、預測 |
外文關鍵詞: | VIX, Weekly Options, Volatility, Term Structure, Forecasting |
相關次數: | 點閱:92 下載:0 |
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2012年5月芝加哥期權交易所(CBOE)推行新的週選擇權的交易規則:其每週四列出的週選擇權的到期日最多增至五個,這使得新規則下週選擇權的交易變得更為活躍。因此,本文將基於CBOE公佈的原有波動率指數(VIX)的算法,引入週選擇權的數據進行研究。我們首先調查引入週選擇權的波動率指數的期限結構的變化;然後研究該波動率指數和S&P 500指數之間是否會呈現更為明顯的負相關程度;最後探究其對於未來實際波動率的預測能力。本文的實證結果表明該波動率指數的期限結構發生改變;且與S&P 500指數之間的負相關程度以及對於未來實際波動率的預測能力皆有所提高。
In May, 2012, Chicago Board Options Exchange, CBOE, published a new regulatory circular, extending the listings of weekly options. Under this new rule, weekly options trading has become more active than before. Therefore, in this article, we study the volatility index, VIX, with weekly options data based on the published VIX algorithm. We first inspect the change of its term structure. Then, we examine the relation between the S&P 500 index and this VIX. Finally, we investigate its forecasting ability and information content for future realized volatility. Our empirical findings suggest that the VIX calculated with weekly options data is more effective. It contains more information for future realized volatility, and its forecasting ability is also superior.
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