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研究生: 黎陳慶銀
Tran Khanh Ngan Le
論文名稱: 中美貿易戰對越南紡織服裝產業出口的影響
THE IMPACTS OF US-CHINA TRADE WAR ON THE VIETNAMESE EXPORTS IN THE TEXTILE AND APPAREL INDUSTRY
指導教授: 陳添枝
Tain-Jy Chen
口試委員: 黃朝熙
Chao-Hsi Huang
黃旻華
Min-Hua Huang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 台北政經學院 - 台北政經學院政治經濟
台北政經學院政治經濟(eng)
論文出版年: 2025
畢業學年度: 113
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 73
中文關鍵詞: 越南的紡織品與服裝出口美國對中國的301關稅美中貿易戰貿易轉移出口相似性指數
外文關鍵詞: Vietnam’s textile and apparel exports, Export Similarity Index, US-China trade war, US 301 tariffs on China, trade diversions
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    This study examines the impact of the United States-China trade war on Vietnam’s textile and apparel exports to the US. The analysis is set against the backdrop of Vietnam’s long-standing textile industry, which plays a vital role in the country’s economic development. This thesis elucidates the evolution of Vietnam’s export structure following the Trade War, assessing its impact on the changing structure of Vietnamese industry. The study applies regression analysis, finding that the tariffs significantly impacted Vietnam’s textile and apparel exports, with evidence of lagged trade diversion effects. The export value of Vietnamese products, parallel to Chinese counterparts subject to US 301 tariffs, increased significantly more than others. The study also compares Vietnam’s export structure with Bangladesh and Cambodia, finding less important trade diversion effects due to their respective scopes of production and levels of productivity. Applying the Export Similarity Index (ESI), the study finds Vietnam’s export structure since 2020 closely resembles China’s pre-Trade War export profile – underscoring Vietnam’s role as a substitute for China in the global textile supply chain.

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