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研究生: 尤彩淇
Yu, Tsai-Chi
論文名稱: 以幾乎隨機優勢比較反VIX、股票與債券
Inverse VIX vs Bond and Stock: Almost Stochastic Dominance Application
指導教授: 張焯然
Chang, Jow-Ran
口試委員: 蔡璧徽
Tsai, Bi-Huei
劉鋼
Liu, Kang
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系
Department of Quantitative Finance
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 23
中文關鍵詞: 標普500波動率短期期貨單日反向一倍超額回報指數投資組合幾乎隨機優勢
外文關鍵詞: SPVXSPI, portfolio, almost stochastic dominance (ASD)
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  • 2017年高盛期權交易部門的研究報告指出,若於金融海嘯發生後的2009年3月起,開始放空VIX短期期貨指數,那麼一直到2017年3月底,此投資報酬率高達4364%,而另一方 面,也觀察到同期間的大盤漲幅高達249%。
    因此,本研究欲以標普500波動率短期期貨單日反向一倍超額回報指數(S&P500 VIX Short-Term Futures Inverse Daily Excess Return;SPVXSPI)為研究對象,探討SPVXSPI與股票、債券的績效比較,而因SPVXSPI是以交易近月份合約編製而成,其報酬分配會有顯著的偏態與峰度,在實證報酬非常態分配的前提下,傳統衡量績效的方法將不適用,因此本篇將以幾乎隨機優勢法(Almost Stochastic Dominance ; ASD)作為研究工具,探討SPVXSPI與股票、債券比教的績效。


    If the investors short S&P500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index Excess Return, from March 9, 2009 to the end of March, 2017, the return rate would be 4364% according to Goldman Sachs’ research.
    Therefore, this paper would like to study the performance between S&P500 VIX Short-Term Futures Inverse Daily Excess Return (SPVXSPI), bonds and stocks via almost stochastic dominance (ASD) since the return distribution of these three assets are not normal distribution.

    第一章 緒論 1 第二章 文獻回顧 3 第三章 研究方法 6 3.1 一階隨機優勢法則 7 3.2 二階隨機優勢法則 8 3.3 一階幾乎隨機優勢法則 10 3.4 二階幾乎隨機優勢法則 11 第四章 實證分析 12 4.1 樣本來源與研究期間 12 4.2 實證結果 13 4.2.1 反VIX與股票、債券之比較 13 4.2.2 未分散風險投資組合之比較 15 4.2.3 分散風險投資組合之比較 17 第五章 結論 21 參考文獻 22

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