簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 管亭雁
Kuan, Ting Yen
論文名稱: 條件隨機優越方法-以掩護性買權策略為例
Conditional Stochastic Dominance method - A case study of Buy-Write Strategy
指導教授: 張焯然
Chang, Jow Ran
口試委員: 林哲群
Lin, Che Chun
劉威漢
Liu, Wei Han
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系
Department of Quantitative Finance
論文出版年: 2017
畢業學年度: 105
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 35
中文關鍵詞: 隨機優越幾乎隨機優越條件隨機優越掩護性買權
外文關鍵詞: Stochastic Dominance, Almost Stochastic Dominance, Conditional Stochastic Dominance, Buy-Write strategy
相關次數: 點閱:2下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 當決策者面臨策略選擇時,會牽涉到許多考量的因素。隨機優越方法給予了和傳統方式不一樣的觀點,而其嚴格的限制條件在實證上較難有發揮的空間。幾乎隨機優越方法針對此項因素作了一定程度上的調整,同樣證時存在多數決策者的效用函數會以優勢方為策略選擇。但經過我們研究發現,隨機優越方法的判定會與常理有所出入。基於此情形,我們提出了較符合財務運用上的條件隨機優越方法,並以探討掩護性買權策略為例,實證結果條件隨機優越方法的判定結果更貼近多數決策者的選擇。


    When decision makers are faced with strategies, there are many factors involved. The Stochastic Dominance gives different viewpoints to the traditional ways, but the applications are subject to its strict rules. As a result,Almost Stochastic Dominance improves the efficiency of judgement, which is able to reveal most investor’s preference. However, our study points out that there is some incorrect result when using ASD rule to define the dominant strategy. In this paper, we establish Conditional Stochastic Dominance (CSD) rule which is more consistent to the financial behavior, and apply CSD rule to analyze the CBOE Buy-Write strategies.

    目 錄 摘要 i Abstract ii 誌謝 iii 圖表索引 v 第1章、緒論 1 1.1研究動機: 1 1.2研究目的: 1 第2章、文獻探討 3 第3章、研究方法 5 3.1 隨機優越 (Stochastic Dominance) 5 3.1.1 一階隨機優越 (First order Stochastic Dominance) 5 3.1.2 二階隨機優越 (Second order Stochastic Dominance) 7 3.2 幾乎隨機優越 (Almost Stochastic Dominance) 9 3.2.1 一階幾乎隨機優越 (Almost First order Stochastic Dominance) 9 3.2.2 二階幾乎隨機優越 (Almost Second order Stochastic Dominance) 11 3.3 條件隨機優越 (Conditional Stochastic Dominance) 13 3.3.1 一階條件隨機優越 (Conditional First order Stochastic Dominance) 14 3.3.2 二階條件隨機優越 (Conditional Second order Stochastic Dominance) 16 3.4 方法總結 19 第4章、研究分析 21 4.1 為什麼不採用mean-variance方法 21 4.2 在Black Scholes模型下以隨機優越分析掩護性買權 22 4.2.1 以隨機優越方法分析 22 4.2.2 以幾乎隨機優越方法分析 26 4.2.3 以條件隨機優越方法分析 27 4.3 以CBOE對S&P 500 index編輯指數為例 30 第5章、結論 33 參考文獻 34

    [1] Blackwell, D. (1951). Comparison of experiments. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the second Berkeley symposium on mathematical statistics and probability.
    [2] Blackwell, D. (1953). Equivalent comparisons of experiments. The annals of mathematical statistics, 24(2), 265-272.
    [3] Bookstaber, R., & Clarke, R. (1984). Option portfolio strategies: measurement and evaluation. Journal of Business, 469-492.
    [4] Bookstaber, R., & Clarke, R. (1985). Problems in evaluating the performance of portfolios with options. Financial Analysts Journal, 48-62.
    [5] Hadar, J., & Russell, W. R. (1969). Rules for ordering uncertain prospects. The American Economic Review, 59(1), 25-34.
    [6] Hanoch, G., & Levy, H. (1969). The efficiency analysis of choices involving risk. The Review of Economic Studies, 36(3), 335-346.
    [7] Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 263-291.
    [8] Karamata, J. (1932). Sur une inégalité relative aux fonctions convexes. Publications de l'Institut mathematique, 1(1), 145-147.
    [9] Leshno, M., & Levy, H. (2002). Preferred by “all” and preferred by “most” decision makers: Almost stochastic dominance. Management Science, 48(8), 1074-1085.
    [10] Levy, H. (1992). Stochastic dominance and expected utility: survey and analysis. Management Science, 38(4), 555-593.
    [11] Levy, M. (2012). Almost stochastic dominance and efficient investment sets.
    [12] Lhabitant, F.-S. (2000). Derivatives in portfolio management: why beating the market is easy. Derivatives Quarterly, 7(2), 39-46.
    [13] Merton, R. C., Scholes, M. S., & Gladstein, M. L. (1978). The returns and risk of alternative call option portfolio investment strategies. Journal of Business, 183-242.
    [14] Merton, R. C., Scholes, M. S., & Gladstein, M. L. (1982). The returns and risks of alternative put-option portfolio investment strategies. Journal of Business, 1-55.
    [15] Morard, B., & Naciri, A. (1990). Options and investment strategies. Journal of Futures Markets, 10(5), 505-517.
    [16] O’Connell, D., & O’Grady, B. (2009). The Buy-Write Strategy, Index Investment, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis: More Australian Evidence. The Journal of Derivatives, 22(1), 71-89.
    [17] Rothschild, M., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1971). Increasing risk II: Its economic consequences. Journal of Economic theory, 3(1), 66-84.
    [18] Whaley, R. E. (2002). Return and risk of CBOE buy write monthly index. The Journal of Derivatives, 10(2), 35-42.
    [19] Whitmore, G. A. (1970). Third-degree stochastic dominance. The American Economic Review, 60(3), 457-459.
    [20] Wolfstetter, E., Dulleck, U., Inderst, R., Kuhbier, P., & Lands-Berger, M. (1993). Stochastic dominance: theory and applications: Humboldt-Univ., Wirtschaftswiss. Fak.

    無法下載圖示 全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校內網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校外網路)

    QR CODE