研究生: |
巴保羅 Rivera Vasquez, Mario Paul |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
黃金對股票投資風險之避險角色再評估:以2009-2016為例 "Re-evaluating the hedging role of Gold against Stock Investment Risk after the 2009 -2016 period |
指導教授: |
王馨徽
Wang, Shin Huei |
口試委員: |
蔡恆修
謝佩芳 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 國際專業管理碩士班 International Master of Business Administration(IMBA) |
論文出版年: | 2017 |
畢業學年度: | 105 |
語文別: | 英文 |
論文頁數: | 30 |
中文關鍵詞: | 黃金價格 、對沖 、安全有風 、險 、金融危機 |
外文關鍵詞: | Gold price, hedge, safe have, risk, financial crisis |
相關次數: | 點閱:1 下載:0 |
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The economic and financial phenomena that has occurred worldwide during the 2008-2016 period produce a very volatile environment for global investors, which face many risks. One of the ways for investors to protect against financial risk in adverse time is investing in gold, which has been considered as a safe haven against stocks movements, meaning that its price moves inversely to stocks on financial turmoil periods. In this research, the most important Stock Indexes, Governmental Bonds and Currencies are analyzed altogether with gold spot price in order to find changes in their correlation patterns on order to assess the hedge properties of these assets was kept after the turmoil of the last decade. I run both recursive and rolling time series correlations of monthly aggregated returns of one of each of these assets against five stock indexes in developed markets in order to assess if their correlation was kept or modified after the crisis occurred in the United States, Eurozone, and China. The results show while of most the assets kept a similar correlation against the stock indexes, however, gold showed the most irregular pattern, especially with the continental European and Chinese stock indexes. As well, an econometric model using multiple linear regression was defined in order to determine the global fundamental drivers of the gold price.
Keywords: Gold price, hedge, safe have, risk, financial crisis.
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