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研究生: 許曉雯
Hsu Hsiao Wen
論文名稱: 功能多樣性曲面估計與軟體開發
Estimation of Functional Diversity Surface and Software Development
指導教授: 趙蓮菊
Chao Anne
口試委員: 邱燕楓
鄭又仁
謝叔蓉
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 理學院 - 統計學研究所
Institute of Statistics
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 150
中文關鍵詞: 物種多樣性系統演化多樣性功能多樣性稀釋與預測樣本涵蓋率
外文關鍵詞: Species diversity, Phylogenetic diversity, Functional diversityRarefaction and extrapolation, Rarefaction and extrapolation, Sample coverage
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  • 環境保育與生物多樣性為二十一世紀全球重大議題之一,為有助於了解生態的變化,許多量化多樣性的指標因應而生。傳統僅考慮物種相對豐富度的物種多樣性指標 (species diversity index) 已被廣泛使用,以及考慮物種演化歷史的系統演化多樣性指標 (phylogenetic diversity index) 也已發展成熟。然而,近年來利用物種特徵或性狀來量化多樣性成為熱門的研究主題,此稱為功能多樣性指標 (functional diversity index)。功能多樣性被認為是了解生態系統變遷與環境永續的關鍵,若功能多樣性高則表示此地區物種性狀差異大,且對於人為干擾有較大的穩定性。在另一方面,取樣問題也是生態學家們所關心的議題,由於抽樣限制,在現實中難以觀察到所有的物種,因此在估計生物多樣性的過程中,樣本涵蓋率 (sample coverage) 的概念用以量化樣本完整的程度扮演重要的角色。
    因此本篇論文的研究主題可以分為兩個部分,第一部分為在個體抽樣下,利用統計推論方法估計單一群落的功能多樣性指標族,以及稀釋與預測曲線,稀釋與預測曲線為將各地區的數據標準化到相同取樣基準來進行客觀比較。第二部分為在個體抽樣下,利用統計推論方法將Good-Turing定義的樣本涵蓋率,推廣至包含考慮物種相對豐富度、考慮物種演化歷史以及考慮物種特徵的樣本涵蓋率指標族。
    本文對於上述所提出的估計方法經由電腦模擬驗證其為可靠的估計,並與最大概似估計量比較,結果顯示本文建議之估計量明顯在偏誤、均方根誤差有較佳的表現。此外本文採用巴西雨林資料進行實例分析,並透過R語言將本文提及之多樣性指標撰寫成互動式網頁iNEXT3D-online。


    Global climate warming and conservation of biodiversity are two major issues in the 21th century. In order to quantify the change of biodiversity, various diversity measures and their sampling properties have been discussed. The traditional species diversity measures only incorporate species richness and species relative abundances without considering the differences between species. The phylogenetic diversity measures which take into account species evolutionary history and their sampling properties have also been discussed in the literature. Recently, using species characteristics or traits to quantify community diversity has become a popular research topics. The associated measures are referred to as “functional diversity index”. However, the sampling issue of functional diversity measures has not been discussed in the literature.
    This thesis includes two parts. The first part focuses on the estimation of the functional diversity profile on the basis of Hill numbers. Sample-sized- and coverage-based functional rarefaction and extrapolation methods are developed based on abundance data from each community. The second part of this study focuses on the extension of Good-Turing sample coverage to three sample coverage profiles and their estimators: species sample coverage profile, phylogenetic sample coverage profile, and functional sample coverage profile.
    Simulation results are reported to compare the proposed estimators with the conventional empirical method; the new proposed estimator exhibits substantial improvement in bias and RMSE. The proposed estimators in this study are applied to the analysis of the Brazilian rainforest data. Relevent online software via R code (iNEXT3D) is developed to implement all diversity estimators.

    第一章 緒論.........................................1 第二章 模型與符號介紹及相關文獻探討................... 6 2.1 模型假設與符號說明 .............................6 2.1.1 個體抽樣下之抽樣方式與模型假設..................6 2.1.2 單一地區個體抽樣之符號介紹......................7 2.1.3 模擬研究符號介紹..............................8 2.2 單一地區物種多樣性文獻回顧......................9 2.2.1 物種數估計....................................9 2.2.2 樣本涵蓋率 (Sample Coverage) 介紹及其估計式....11 2.2.3 樣本涵蓋率稀釋與預測函數介紹及其估計式...........13 2.2.4 Shannon熵指標與Simpson指標介紹................14 2.2.5 Hill指標族介紹及其估計式.......................15 2.2.6 Hill指標的稀釋與預測函數介紹及其估計式...........19 2.2.7 拔靴方法 (Bootstrapping) 之標準差估計與其修正...25 2.3 單一地區系統演化多樣性(Phylogenetic Diversity)文獻回顧................................................29 2.3.1 系統演化多樣性指標族介紹及其估計式................31 2.3.2 系統演化多樣性的稀釋與預測函數介紹及其估計式........35 2.3.3 系統演化拔靴方法 (Bootstrapping) 之標準差估計.....40 第三章 單一地區功能多樣性 (Functional Diversity) 相關主題 ......................................................42 3.1 功能多樣性指標族介紹及其估計式....................44 3.2 功能多樣性的稀釋與預測函數介紹及其估計式............54 3.3 功能多樣性拔靴方法 (Bootstrapping) 之標準差估計....60 第四章 單一地區樣本涵蓋率指標族 (Sample Coverage Profile) 相關主題...............................................62 4.1 一般物種多樣性的樣本涵蓋率指標族介紹及其估計式 ......62 4.2 系統演化多樣性的樣本涵蓋率指標族介紹及其估計式......64 4.3 功能多樣性的樣本涵蓋率指標族介紹及其估計式..........65 第五章 模擬研究與討論..................................70 5.1 模擬研究設定說明................................70 5.2 功能多樣性指標族估計之模擬結果....................71 5.3 功能多樣性的稀釋與預測函數估計之模擬結果...........74 5.4 樣本涵蓋率指標族估計之模擬結果....................82 第六章 實例分析.......................................88 6.1 一般物種多樣性之巴西雨林稀有物種實例分析...........89 6.2 系統演化多樣性之巴西雨林稀有物種實例分析...........93 6.3 功能多樣性之巴西雨林稀有物種實例分析...............98 第七章 軟體開發......................................105 7.1 簡介..........................................105 7.2 使用步驟.......................................106 7.3 輸出結果.......................................108 第八章 結論與後續討論................................. 116 參考文獻..............................................119 附錄..................................................121 附錄A 模擬試驗之估計量表現 – 功能多樣性指標族估計.......121 附錄B 模擬試驗之估計量表現 – 功能多樣性的稀釋與預測函數估計....................................................127 附錄B.1 功能多樣性q = 0的稀釋與預測函數估計............127 附錄B.2 功能多樣性q = 1的稀釋與預測函數估計............133 附錄B.3 功能多樣性q = 2的稀釋與預測函數估計............139 附錄C 模擬試驗之估計量表現 – 樣本涵蓋率指標族估計.......145

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