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研究生: 哈維爾
Javier Antonio Lammie Blake
論文名稱: 風力發電市場發展的因素 - 供應和需求模型
DRIVERS OF THE WIND FARMS MARKET AN ECONOMETRIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
指導教授: 林博文
Lin, Bou-Wen
口試委員: 涂敏芬
洪世章
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 國際專業管理碩士班
International Master of Business Administration(IMBA)
論文出版年: 2013
畢業學年度: 101
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 69
中文關鍵詞: 風力發電供應和需求模型
外文關鍵詞: Wind Energy, Supply and Demand
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  • Wind energy is the most readily available and competitive energy alternative after hydroelectric power. Researchers and business media alike affirm that experience and amount of capacity is driving the levelized cost of the wind industry down. The drop in costs of energy, technology advancements, policy and the long term rising price of oil are driving the growth of Wind power generation industry. Within this paper we constructed a demand and supply model of the wind energy farms market to determine that the levelized cost of energy and the technology affects the supply of wind energy, while the levelized cost of energy, the price of oil and competitors, like the clean coal, disturbs the demand.


    Contents Introduction 1 Utility Scale Wind Energy 4 Wind Turbines 5 Vertical Axis Wind Turbines (VAWT) 6 Horizontal axis Wind Turbine (HAWT) 6 Utility-Scale Wind Industry Value Chain 8 Wind Farm Developers 8 Suppliers 10 Customers 10 Global Wind Energy Installed Capacity 11 Drivers of Wind Energy Installed Capacity 19 Price 20 Levelized cost of Electricity 21 Environment 22 Gross Domestic Product 22 Buyers 22 Policy 23 Electricity Price 24 Suppliers 24 Wind Generator Technology Advancements 24 Wind Generator Technology Price 26 Number of Suppliers 27 Barriers for New Entrants and Competition 28 Number of Developers 28 Complements and Supplements 28 Other sources of electricity 28 A Demand and Supply Model for Wind Energy Installed Capacity 32 Methodology 33 Sampling 33 Modeling 34 Data 39 Statistical Analysis and tools 39 Hypothesis 39 Results 40 Discussion 43 Conclusion 45 Reference 46 Appendix - A VI Data Source VI Appendix-B IX B-1) Key Assumptions IX B-2) Statistical Analysis Outputs X Appendix – C – Supporting Tables and Figures XIX

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