簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 陳宥任
論文名稱: Local bias、天氣與台灣股市之間的相互關係
Local bias and the relation between weather and the stock market in Taiwan
指導教授: 張國平教授
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
中文關鍵詞: Local bias股票報酬天氣虛擬變數OLS簡單迴歸Logit迴歸分析
相關次數: 點閱:2下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 在此篇論文中,我們主要參考 Yim Loughran and Paul Schultz 在其” Weather, Stock Returns, and the impact of Localized Trading Behavior”一文中的精神,試著去判定在台灣寶島上人們的交易行為是否存在著『Local bias』的現象。而在確定了人們的交易行為存有『Local bias』的現象後,我們再試圖去釐清究竟天氣的狀況以及股票的報酬之間是否會有一固定的關係。藉著虛擬變數迴歸分析方法的使用以及九二一大地震以及那莉颱風事件的選取,我們發現在台灣寶島上確實存在著『Local bias』的交易型態,而在其後的『天氣狀況與股票報酬』的關係檢測上,於使用OLS簡單迴歸模型以及Logit迴歸分析的方法後,我們並無法找出天氣以及股票報酬率之間任何的關係。


    第一章□序論 第一節□研究動機與目的 第二節 本文特色及貢獻 第三節 研究架構 第二章□文獻回顧 第一節□Local bias 的相關研究 第二節 天氣、心理狀態與行為的相關研究 第三節□天氣與股票報酬的相關研究 第T章□研究方法 第一節□資料 第二節□計量方法 第四章□實證結果 第一節□Local bias的實證 第二節□天氣以及股票報酬關係的實證 第五章□結論與建議 附表一:公司總部與類股關係表 附表二:各地方人口密度表 附表三:地震震度表 附圖一:九二一大地震等震度圖 附圖二:納利颱風路徑圖

    英文參考文獻

    1.Bell,P.A.(1981). “Psysiological comfort, performance and social effects of heat stress”. Journal of Social Issues, 37, P71~94

    2.Bell, P.A. & Baron, R.A.(1976). “Aggression and heat:The mediating role of negative affect.” Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 6, P18~30

    3.Brennan, Michael J., and H. Henry Cao, (1997), “International portfolio investment flows,” Journal of Finance 52, P1855~1880

    4.Cooper, I.A., Kaplanis, E., (1994) “What explains the home bias in portfolio investment.” Review of Financial Studies, 7, P45~60

    5.Coval, Joshua D., (1996), “International capital flows when investors have local information” Working paper, University of Michigan

    6.Coval.J. and T. Moskowitz. (1999) “Home Bias at Home: Local Equity Preference in Domestic Portfolios.” Journal of Finance, 54, P2045-2073

    7.Cunningham, M. R.(1979).“Weather, mood and helping behavior: Quasi-experiments with the sunshine Samaritan,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 37, )1947~1956
    8.De Santis, georgio, (1993) “Asset pricing and portfolio diversification: evidence from emerging financial markets, in S. Claessens and S. Gooptu, eds, portfolio Investment in developing countries,” World banks Discussion paper 228, Washington D.C

    9.French, K.R., Poterba, J.M.,(1991). Investor diversification and international equity markets. American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, P222~226

    10.Goetzmann, W., and N. Zhu. (2003) “ Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?” Working Paper, Yale Univ.

    11.Goldstein, K. M.(1972) “ Weather, mood internal-external control.” Perceptual and Motor Skills, 35, P786

    12.Grauer, R.R and N.H. Hakansson,(1987) “Gains from international diversification: 1968-85 returns on portfolios of stocks and bonds,” Journal of Finance, 42,P721~741

    13.Grinblatt.M. and M.Keloharju. (2001) “How Distance, Language and Culture Influence Stockholdings and Trades.” Journal of finance, 56, P1053-1073

    14.Grubel, H.G. (1968)“International diversified portfolios,”American Economic Review, 58,P1299-14

    15.Harvey, C.R. (1991)“The world price of covariance risk,” Journal of Finance, 46, P111~157

    16.Howarth, E and Schokman-Gates, K.(1981). “Self-report mood instruments.” British Journal of Psychology, 72 , P421-435

    17.Hirshleifer, D. and T. Shumway (2003). “Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the weather.” Journal of Finance, 58 ,P1009-1032

    18.Howarth,E. and M.s. Hoffman(1984). “A Multidimensional Approach to the Relation between Mood and Weather.” British Journal of Psychology, 75, P15-23

    19.Huberman, Gur, (1998), “ Familiarity breeds investment, Working Paper, Columbia Business School.

    20.Jeffrey L. Sanders and Mary S. Brizzolara (1982) “Relationships between Mood and weather” Journal of General Psychology, 107, P157-P158

    21.Levy, H and M. Sarnat (1970), “International diversification of investment portfolios,” American Economic Review, 50 , P668~675

    22.Low, Aaron, (1993). “Essays on asymmetric information in international finance” Unpublished dissertation, The Anderson School at UCLA

    23.Mark A. Trombley (1997). “Stock Prices And Wall Street Weather: Additional Evidence” Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics, 36, P11~21

    24.Palamerek, D. L. & Rule, B. G.(1980). The effects of ambient temperature and insult on the motivation to retaliate or escape. Motivation and Emotion, 3, P83-92

    25.Persinger, M.S. (1975).” Lag Response in Mood Reports to Changes in The Weather Matrix,” International Journal of Biometeorology, 19. P108-114

    26.Perterson, P.P., (1989),”Event Study: A Review of Issues and Methodology,” Quarter Journal of Business and Economics, vol. 28, P36~66

    27.Petersen, Mitchell, and Raghuram Rajan, (2000), “ Does distance still matter? The information revolution in small business lending,” Working paper, Northwestern University

    28.Saunders. E. (1993) “Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather.” American Economic Review. 83, p1337-1345

    29.Schneider, F. W. Lesko, W.A. & garrett, W. A. (1980). “Helping behavior in hot, comfortable and cold temperatures: A field study.” Environment and Behavior, 2, P231~241

    30.Solink, B.H. (1974) “Why not diversify internationally rather than domestically?” Financial Analysts Journal , 30 ,P91~135

    31.Tesar, L., Werner, I.M., (1995). “Home bias and high turnover.” Journal of International Money and Finance, 14 , P467~493

    32.Wyndham ,C. (1969). “Adaptation to heat and cold.” Environment Research, 2, P442~449

    33.Yim Loughran and Paul Schultz (2004) ” Weather, Stock Returns, and the impact of Localized Trading Behavior” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39 ,P346~347

    34.Zhu, N. (2002) “ The Local Bias of Individual Investors.” Working Paper, Yale Univ.

    中文參考文獻

    1.沈中華、李建然,2000,事件研究法―財務與會計實證研究必備,華泰出版社

    2.周賓凰、蔡坤芳,1997,”台灣股市日資料特性與事件研究法”,證券市場發展季刊,9卷,2期,4月,P1~26□pg 61

    無法下載圖示 全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校內網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (校外網路)
    全文公開日期 本全文未授權公開 (國家圖書館:臺灣博碩士論文系統)
    QR CODE