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研究生: 周正宸
Chou, Chen-Cheng
論文名稱: 再探薪資結構與球隊表現的關連性:以美國職棒大聯盟為例
Revisit the Relationship Between Team Performance and the Salary Structure in Major League Baseball
指導教授: 林世昌
Lin, Eric S.
口試委員: 吳世英
Wu, Shih-Ying
俞明德
Yu, Min-Teh
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2013
畢業學年度: 101
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 54
中文關鍵詞: 美國職棒大聯盟薪資結構追蹤資料模型
外文關鍵詞: Major League Baseball, Salary Structure, Panel data Model
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  • 本篇文章想要討論不同的薪資結構如何影響球隊的表現。過去有不少的文獻討論團隊薪資的高低和分配情形與球隊表現的關連性。預算充裕的球團會去追求有實績的球員,造成團隊薪資上升,但薪資水準不一定能夠反應實質的生產力。而球隊內部薪資不均的程度也存在誘因影響個別球員的表現。因此,球隊的薪資結構,即球隊預算大小及分配的方式,明顯的會影響球隊表現。本篇文章利用 1985--2011 年 MLB 各個球隊的追蹤資料,考慮固定效果下,檢視薪資結構的變數是否影響球隊表現。迥異於過往文獻,除了薪資總額以外,我們特別檢驗球隊薪資的相對排序對球隊的影響力。此外,我們亦檢驗在不同的薪資結構變數下對球隊不同階段目標表現的關連性。不同球隊績效變數包括總勝場數、勝率、進入季後賽、贏得聯盟冠軍以及獲得世界大賽冠軍等五項目標。結果指出,團隊薪資及平均薪資確實對球隊的表現有正面的影響,包括球隊勝負及進入季後賽的機率。而薪資不均的程度越大,也對球隊表現的產生負面的影響。最後,1994 年的大罷工確實對 MLB 產生結構性的轉變。


    This article review the result of different salary structures affect the team performance.There is literature discuss the relationship between team salary level, allocation and team performance.The team with more budget could attract talent players,but does not necessarily have a good team performance.The degree of variation within the team salary will also have an impact on the personal performance.Therefore,the level of budget and the way of budget allocation apparently affect team performance.We use the panel data from 1985 to 2011 in MLB.
    Compare with the literature,this article not only test the total team salary,but also test relative rank of team salary.In addition,we also use team goals at different stages to represent the team performance,such as total wins,winning percentage,into the playoffs,win the League Championship or World Series.The results pointed out that the team salary and average salary does have a positive impact on the team performance,which including wins and getting into the playoffs.And the higher degree of the salary variation have significant negative impact on team performance.Finally,the 1994 strike make MLB changes.

    目錄 1 緒論..................................................................................... 8 2 MLB 簡介............................................................................. 11 3 文獻回顧.............................................................................. 14 4 理論基礎.............................................................................. 18 5 資料描述.............................................................................. 20 6 實證方法.............................................................................. 26 7 實證結果.............................................................................. 29 7.1 勝場數迴歸式 .................................................................. 29 7.2 勝率迴歸式...................................................................... 32 7.3 季後賽迴歸式 .................................................................. 32 7.4 聯盟冠軍迴歸式 ............................................................... 34 7.5 世界大賽冠軍迴歸式.......................................................... 34 7.6 1994年前後之結構性改變.................................................. 34 8 結論 .....................................................................................38 A 1994 年之前與 1994 年之後十組迴歸結果 ...............................41 表目錄 2.1 美國職棒大聯盟球隊列表..................................................... 12 5.1 變數名稱列表 .................................................................... 25 7.1 勝場數迴歸式迴歸結果......................................................... 30 7.2 勝率迴歸式迴歸結果............................................................ 31 7.3 季後賽迴歸式迴歸結果......................................................... 33 7.4 聯盟冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果..................................................... 36 7.5 世界大賽冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果 .............................................. 37 A.1 勝場數迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之前 .................................... 42 A.2 勝率迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之前........................................ 43 A.3 季後賽迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之前 .................................... 44 A.4 聯盟冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之前 ................................. 45 A.5 世界大賽冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之前 ............................46 A.6 勝場數迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之後 .....................................47 A.7 勝率迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之後.........................................48 A.8 季後賽迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之後 .....................................49 A.9 聯盟冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之後 ................................. 50 A.10世界大賽冠軍迴歸式迴歸結果-1994年之後........................... 51 圖目錄 5.1 1985 年到 2011 年平均團隊薪資及調整後的平均團隊薪資....... 21 5.2 1985 年到 2011 年球員平均薪資及調整後的球員平均薪資....... 22 5.3 1985年到2011年團隊薪資及Gini係數分布圖.......................... 23 5.4 1985 年到 2011 年團隊薪資與球隊勝場數分布圖.....................25

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