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研究生: 翁梓玲
論文名稱: 資本流動對於經濟成長以及國內投資的影響
The Impact of Capital Flows on Economic Growth and Domestic Investment
指導教授: 林靜儀
口試委員: 李宜
趙世偉
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2013
畢業學年度: 101
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 61
中文關鍵詞: 資本流動經濟成長國內投資
外文關鍵詞: Capital Flow, Economic Growth, Domestic Investment
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  • 本篇研究為探討資本流動對於經濟成長與國內投資的影響,研究的資料期間為1980年至2011年,以季資料進行實證分析。包括的國家有十九個新興國家、十三個開發中國家以及二十二個已開發國家,藉此分別探討對於不同屬性國家是否有大小程度不同的影響。
    使用計量模型為一般最小平方法,並且探討在特定條件下資本流動能否對於國內經濟造成影響。除此之外,使用工具變數解決內生性問題,再次觀察資本流動與經濟成長以及國內投資的關係。
    分析結果認為,資本流動的確能促進國內經濟成長並且誘發國內投資,為國內經濟成長注入另一波動力。其中又以具有發展潛力且足夠吸收能力的新興國家最為明顯。關於已開發國家,資本流動已無法再次帶動經濟成長。國際直接投資與有價證券投資在三個不同經濟體皆以有價證券投資影響力大。


    This thesis uses quarterly data over the 1980-2011 to investigate the impact of capital flows on economic growth and domestic investment and also to assess whether these results differ from economies-distinguishing samples which includes 19 emerging countries, 13 developing countries, and 22 developed countries. Using interaction terms to assess whether this relationship depends on the level of economic development, human capital, and macroeconomic policies, this study uses OLS estimator and also use a 2-stage least squares instrumental variable estimator to control for simultaneity bias while allowing for heteroskedasticity-consistent errors. The results suggest capital flows exert a positive influence on economic growth and boost domestic investment in emerging countries. However, it’s not significant in the sample of developed countries.

    中文摘要------------------------------------------------I 英文摘要------------------------------------------------II 第一章 緒論 第一節 研究動機----------------------------------------1~4 第二節 研究目的----------------------------------------5 第三節 研究架構----------------------------------------6 第二章 文獻探討 第一節 資本流動與經濟成長--------------------------------7~10 第二節 資本流動與投資-----------------------------------11~13 第三章 實證分析 第一節 資料來源與處理-----------------------------------14~15 第二節 計量模型----------------------------------------15~17 第三節 敘述統計----------------------------------------18~23 第四節 一般最小平方法-----------------------------------24~36 第五節 檢驗不同條件下迴歸結果-交互項----------------------37~41 第六節 工具變數----------------------------------------42~49 第四章 結論與建議 第一節 結論---------------------------------------------50~51 第二節 未來研究方向與建議---------------------------------51 附錄-變數處理-------------------------------------------52~55 附錄-國家列表-------------------------------------------56~57 參考文獻-----------------------------------------------58~61

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