簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 丁 晨
Ding, Chen
論文名稱: 以實質選擇權研究中国概念股私有化退市之時點選擇——以巨人網絡公司为例
Deciding the Optimal Privatization Time of China Concepts Stock by the Real Options Approach - An Example of Giant Interactive Group Company
指導教授: 索樂晴
So, Leh-Chyan
口試委員: 林哲群
Lin, Che-Chun
張焯然
Chang, Jow-Ran
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系
Department of Quantitative Finance
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 25
中文關鍵詞: 中國概念股實質選擇權私有化退市
外文關鍵詞: China concept stocks, real options, privatization delisting
相關次數: 點閱:1下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 中國概念股(簡稱中概股)是指在海外上市的且以中國境內的資產或營收為其主體組成部分的股票的總稱。自20世紀90年代初至今,中概股登陸美國股市已有20多年。但2011年開始,中概股出現首次退市潮,除部分質量欠佳的中小企業被動退市外,一部分自由現金流較高的優質企業選擇私有化主動退市。在國外中國概念股企業價值被嚴重低估,而國內資本市場的高溢價使得眾多中概股企業踏上私有化回歸A股之路。據統計,自2015年至2016年6月,準備私有化的中概股達到37家。近3年已有6家在海外上市的中國企業回到中国市場上市。2015年,自從中概股暴風影音從美國私有化退市回到了中國股市,創造了連續27個漲停的神話,中國的資本市場就掀起了一股中概股私有化回歸的熱潮。2015年,分眾傳媒成功借殼七喜控股回歸,被稱為是中概股回歸的大型樣本;2016年巨人網絡借殼世紀遊輪成為第二個回歸中国股市的中概股。
    在現實決策中,這些中概股公司何時選擇私有化退市的時機是一個非常重要的問題,時機的選擇關係到公司能否順利實現重新上市,影響其後續的融資計劃和未來的發展前景。本文運用實質選擇權的思路解決這個問題,將公司擁有的私有化退市後重新上市的時機看做一種實質選擇權,公司一旦選擇私有化退市,就是執行了實質選擇權。本文以2014年7月完成私有化退市後於2016年4月借殼世紀遊輪迴歸中國股市的巨人網絡公司為例,通過實質選擇權的方法,對巨人網絡從美國市場私有化退市的時機選擇進行評估,給公司管理層提供有效的參考依據。


    China concept stocks refer to the overseas listing and to the territory of China's assets or revenue as the main component of the stock in general. Since the early 90s of the 20th century, shares in the US stock market has been more than 20 years. However, in 2011, the first time in the stock market tide, in addition to some poor quality of small and medium enterprises passive delisting, part of the high free cash flow or high-quality enterprises choose to take the initiative to withdraw from the privatization. The value of China concept stocks are seriously underestimated in overseas market, and the high premium of the domestic capital market makes many of the enterprises return to Chinese stock market. According to incomplete statistics, from 2015 to June 2016, 37 companies had offered privatization request. In the last 3 years, 5 enterprises have left from the overseas stock market and returned to the Chinese stock market. In 2015, the storm video delisted from the US privatization got back to the Chinese stock market, creating a myth of 27 consecutive daily gains. In 2015, Focus Media was described as a large sample of the return of China Game. In 2016, Giant Network became the second Chinese stock market to return to China. In the real decision-making, the time the companies to choose to privatization delist is a very important issue, the timing of the choice related to the company can successfully re-listed, affecting its follow-up financing plan and future development prospects. This article uses the idea of real options to solve this problem. The company has the option to decide whether and when to privatization delist from American market. Once it decides to do it, it means that the option has been executed. In this paper, we use the Giants Network Company as an example, which completed the privatization delisting in 2014 and returned to Chinese stock market by reverse takeover the Century Cruises Company in 2016. We can assess the timing point of privatization delisting that the company chose through the method of real options,providing an alternative and effective reference standard for company management in the future.

    第一章、緒論......................................................................................................................................1 第一節: 研究背景...................................................................................................................1 第二節: 研究意義...................................................................................................................2 第二章、文獻回顧.............................................................................................................................3 第一節: 相關概念解釋..........................................................................................................3 第二節: 實質選擇權文獻.....................................................................................................4 第三節: 決策最佳時機文獻................................................................................................5 第三章、研究方法.............................................................................................................................6 第一節: 案例分析...................................................................................................................6 第二節: 選擇權模型..............................................................................................................8 第四章、實證結果與分析..............................................................................................................12 第一節: 變數定義.................................................................................................................12 第二節: 實證結果分析.......................................................................................................14 第三節: 敏感性分析............................................................................................................16 第五章、研究結論與展望............................................................................................................17 附錄........................................................................................................................................................18 參考文獻..............................................................................................................................................25

    【1】汪溫泉(2010),最優IPO時機研巧,瀋陽航天工業學報,27(2):80-85 。
    【2】周掉華,李建超(2006),中小企業版IPO時機選擇研究,開發研究。
    【3】陳沛柔(2006),《企業應用實質選擇權評價合作發展產業標準平台之研究》,國立清華大學科技管理研究所,碩士論文。
    【4】蔡冰妤(2007),《以實質選擇權評估OBM廠商兼營OEM之最適分割時點》,國立清華大學科技管理研究所,碩士論文。
    【5】Benaroch, M., and R. Kauffman, 1999, A case for using real options pricing analysis to evaluate information technology project investments, Information Systems Research, 10: 1, 70-86.
    【6】Bouis, Romain, 2003, Optimistic Investors, IPOs Cycle and Real Investment.
    【7】Dixit, A. and Pindyck R., 1994, Investment under Uncertainty, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
    【8】Draho, Jason, 2000,The Timing of Initial Public Offerings: A Real Option Approach, Yale University working paper.
    【9】Luehrman, Timothy A.,1998,Investment Opportunities as Real Options: Getting Started on the Numbers. Harvard Business Review 76, no. 4: 51–67.
    【10】Majd, S., and R. Pindyck, 1987, Time to build, option value, and investment decisions, Journal of Financial Economics, 18: 1, 7-27.
    【11】McDonald, R. and D. Siegel, 1986, The Value of Waiting to Invest, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101, 707-727.
    【12】Moel, A., and P. Tufano, 2002, When are real options exercised? An empirical study of mine closings, The Review of Financial Studies, 15: 1, 35-64.
    【13】Myers, S., 1977, Determinants of corporate borrowing, Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 147-175.
    【14】Richards, Timothy J. and Paul M. Patterson, 2004 ,“Slotting Allowances as Real Options: An Alternative Explanation,” Journal of Business, vol. 77, no. 2, pp. 675-695.

    QR CODE