研究生: |
林祐瑄 You-Hsuan Lin |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
企業價值評估-以日月光收購矽品股權為例 Corporate Valuation - A case study of ASE seeking to take up major stake in SPIL |
指導教授: |
林哲群
Che-Chun Lin 黃裕烈 Yu-Lieh Huang |
口試委員: |
楊屯山
蔡錦堂 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 經營管理碩士在職專班 Business Administration |
論文出版年: | 2016 |
畢業學年度: | 104 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 47 |
中文關鍵詞: | 企業評價 、現金流量折現法 、本益比法 |
外文關鍵詞: | price-to-earning ratio, EVA spread |
相關次數: | 點閱:3 下載:0 |
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本論文主要在衡量企業之價值,以「現金流量折現法」與「本益比法」,估算矽品之每股股票價格,從而驗證2015年日月光兩次收購矽品股權之價格,是否有其合理之依據。
經由實證分析後,可以得知,以現金流量折現法求得矽品之企業價值,易受加權平均資金成本(weighted average cost of capital, WACC)與自由現金流量(free cash flow to the firm, FCFF)成長率(g)之影響,故加入WACC與g的敏感度分析。計算所得到的股價範圍,包含了日月光收購矽品之價格,可見,現金流量折現法在實務上是成熟的企業評價模式。而本益比估價法,以六家類似企業之平均本益比求出矽品之股價,亦與實際收購價格相去不遠,足見估價之可靠度,不因評價方法之繁複或簡易,而有其好壞之分。本研究結果證實,日月光對矽品的收購邀約,其價格有合理性的依據。
最後,研究發現,日月光與矽品之EVA (economic value added) spread均為正值,如果維持高投資率,則成長所創造的企業價值會更高。2015年5月26日,兩家企業宣布將共組產業控股公司,日後是否能發揮綜效,創造更高的企業價值,則有待後續追蹤研究。
In this thesis, the major purpose focuses on estimating the value of an enterprise. The price per share of SPIL stock is evaluated with "discounted cash flow (DCF) method" and "price-to-earning ratio method" by reference to the public financial data. The calculated prices will be compared with the prices that ASE purchased stakes of SPIL in 2015. Based on the analyses, the reasonableness of price in the case of ASE-SPIL takeover bid will be checked up in the research.
According to the result, it was quite obvious that the value of an enterprise is susceptible to weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and FCFF growth rate "g" when DCF method was adopted. The two parameters "WACC" and "g" are taken into consideration for a subtle analysis. Finally, the share price range calculated by DCF method includes the real price that ASE offered. It is thus clear that DCF method is practical for making an evaluation of a corporate. Additionally, another approach being employed in this study, "price-to-earning ratio method", averaged the P/E values of six similar companies and computed SPIL stock price. The calculated price is quite close to the purchase price. It is perceived that "price-to-earning ratio method" is a useful method even though it is very simple one to be applied. These analyses had proved that in the case of ASE-SPIL takeover bit, the matter of price is reasonable.
Moreover, it is found in this study that the EVA spread of these two companies are both positive. If the two corporations consistently make a considerable investment, the growth will lead to a larger profit. On May 26, 2016, ASE and SPIL had reached an agreement to set up a holding company. The further discussion in this thesis would be centred on the issue that whether or not the synergy could be achieved, from which immense benefit is expected to be brought after ASE and SPIL work in close collaboration.
中文部分:
1. 李秋瑜,2000,企業併購價格之財務評價探討-以台積電併購世大為例,國立台灣大學論文。
2. 蘇哲毅,2012,企業併購之價格評估-以AMAT收購VSVA為例,國立清華大學論文。
3. 李政育,2013,台灣50股票及各產業股票之投資策略操作-現金流量折現法之應用,國立中山大學論文。
4. 張維棻,2015,企業價值評估-以S公司為例,國立清華大學論文。
5. 陳婉儀,2015,2015半導體產業年鑑,經濟部技術處委託之產業報告。
6. 王淑芬,2015,企業評價,台北市:華泰。
7. 吳啟銘,2000,企業評價:個案實證分析,台北市:智勝文化。
8. 伍忠賢,2002,公司鑑價,台北市:三民。
9. 薛明玲、伍忠賢,2000,你的公司值多少錢:新經濟時代的公司鑑價,台北市:實用稅務。
10. 陳隆麒、陳驪夫、沈高毅、溫福星、王健安(譯),2001,科技評價:研發與財務的對話(原作者:F. Peter Boer),台北市:華泰。
網站部分:
1. IC Insights,http://www.icinsights.com/data/articles/documents/823.pdf
2. 資策會產業情報研究所,https://mic.iii.org.tw/micnew/IndustryObservations_PressRelease02.aspx?sqno=391
3. Yahoo Finance,http://finance.yahoo.com/