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研究生: 孫正文
Sun, Cheng-Wen
論文名稱: 使用衰變與設限資料對壽命分配之推論
Inference for the Lifetime Distribution from Degradation and Censored Data
指導教授: 唐正
Tang, Jen
黃榮臣
Huwang, Longcheen
口試委員:
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 理學院 - 統計學研究所
Institute of Statistics
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 106
中文關鍵詞: 衰變試驗模型選取適合度檢定幾乎不偏估計反高斯分布設限樣本
外文關鍵詞: Degradation test, Model selection, Goodness-of-fit test, Almost unbiased estimator, Inverse Gaussian distribution, Censored samples
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  • The purpose of this dissertation is to study four statistical inference problems for the lifetime distribution based on censored Wiener degradation data. We first propose an effective method for collecting intermediate, non-failure threshold-crossing data from a highly reliable product and prove the asymptotic properties of our proposed estimators of the parameters for the inverse Gaussian lifetime distribution. A numerical study shows our method performs well as compared to two other traditional methods. As an alternative to the Kolmo-gorov-Smirnov test, we propose a model selection method and a goodness-of-fit test proce-dure to choose a better-fitted distribution to a censored lifetime dataset. We show our method has the same performance with traditional goodness-of-fit test by efficiency of Bahadur (1960). We obtain some sufficient conditions for the existence of an almost unbiased estima-tor (under the definition of Haldane) when an unbiased estimator does not exist under a gen-eral setting. We then demonstrate that some existing results in the Binomial case are special cases. Finally we show that, for the complete data case, unbiased estimators and almost unbi-ased estimators of the percentiles of the inverse Gaussian distribution do not exist, and, con-sequently, propose asymptotically unbiased estimators for complete and Type 2 censored sample cases.


    1 INTRODUCTION 1 2 A DEGRADATION TEST FOR ESTIMATING THE LIFETIME DISTRIBUTION OF A HIGHLY RELIABLE PRODUCT UNDER TYPE 1 CENSORING 5 2.1 Degradation Model and Literature Review 7 2.2 Degradation Process, Proposed Sampling Scheme, and the Data 10 2.3 The Proposed Estimators of Lifetime Parameters 12 2.4 Asymptotic Results of MLEs 14 2.5 Estimation and Prediction for the Lifetime Distribution 16 2.6 Illustrative Example and Comparisons 18 2.7 Concluding Remarks 28 Appendix A. Proofs of Theorems 2.1 and 2.2 29 Appendix B. Figures and Tables 37 3 MODEL SELECTION AND GOODNESS-OF-FIT TEST FOR THE LIFETIME DISTRIBUTIONS FROM CENSORED SAMPLES 47 3.1 Introduction 47 3.2 The Proposed Method of Goodness-of-Fit Test 54 3.3 Property of the Proposed Method of Goodness-of-Fit Test 56 3.4 Comparisons of the Proposed Method and Traditional Method for Goodness-of-Fit Test 58 3.5 Concluding Remarks 60 Appendix A. Proof of (3.17) 62 Appendix B. Figure 63 4 ALMOST UNBIASED ESTIMATORS UNDER A GENERAL SETTING 64 4.1 Introduction 64 4.2 Almost Unbiased Estimator for Functions of Binomial Frequency 69 4.3 Almost Unbiased Estimator for Functions of One Parameter of Any Distributions 72 4.4 The Proposed Definition of Almost Unbiased Estimator 74 4.5 Application for Almost Unbiased Estimator with the Proposed Definition 76 4.6 Concluding Remarks 78 5 ASYMPTOTICALLY AND ALMOST UNBIASED ESTIMATOR OF PERCENTILES FOR THE INVERSE GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION FROM COMPLETE SAMPLES AND CENSORED SAMPLES 80 5.1 Introduction 80 5.2 Nonexistence of Almost Unbiased Estimator for Percentiles of IG from Complete and Type 2 Censored Samples 85 5.3 An Asymptotically Unbiased Estimator of IG Percentiles Based on Complete Data and Type 2 Censored Data 86 5.4 An Almost Unbiased Estimator of Mean for IG Based on Type 1 Censored Data by Singh and Singh (1998) 93 5.5 Concluding Remarks 95 6 CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE RESAERCH 96 REFERENCES 98

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