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研究生: 陳依
Yi Chen
論文名稱: 可替代性商品之動態價格模式
Dynamic Pricing Model for the Substitutable Products
指導教授: 溫于平
Ue-Pyng Wen
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 工學院 - 工業工程與工程管理學系
Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
論文出版年: 2006
畢業學年度: 94
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 41
中文關鍵詞: 動態價格可替代性時效性商品多項羅吉特模式收益管理
外文關鍵詞: Dynamic Pricing, Substitution, Perishable Products, Multinomial Logit Model, Revenue Management
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  • 針對飛機票、旅館訂房及流行性商品等具有時效性的商品,多產品的問題日漸普及,消費者可以選擇購買較低廉的商品,或在可接受的範圍內付出較高的金額以換取更好的產品服務水準。業者必須在有限的銷售期間同時考慮到顧客對於商品個別的反應以及比價所造成的影響,以求取更高的收益。因此,針對獨占市場中兩個替代性商品的問題,我們提出了動態價格模式,目的是使得業者的收益最大化。
    本研究利用多項羅吉特模式描述顧客的選擇行為,並藉由計算轉換價格的最佳時間序列,使得業者可以在連續時間過程中動態地調整價格。此外,我們利用邊際利潤的概念分析出有效的價格策略以降低運算時間。最後,以一些數據的例子說明模式的進行步驟,並將實際的收益與固定價格模式的結果作一比較。


    As multi-product problem becomes more and more common today, customers may substitute their initial choice to a cheaper one they can afford or upgrade with additional payment to get higher service level. In many industries, such as airline seats allocation, hotel rooms or seasonal fashion goods, seller must consider customer reaction from the strategic prices on each product and its interaction to enhance the revenue in a finite sales horizon. Hence, we proposed a dynamic pricing model where a sell offers two substitutable perishable products in the monopolist market. The objective is to maximize the total profit gain from both two products.
    In this thesis, we analyze the problem using a multinomial logit model to describe the customer choice behavior. The exact solution is obtained according to the calculated optimal time thresholds. Sellers can dynamically adjust the price policy in the continuous-time process. We also analyze the efficient price strategy based on the marginal expected revenue function. Furthermore, a numerical example is illustrated to show the procedure and the resultant is compared with the fixed price policy.

    ABSTRACT II LIST OF FIGURES VI LIST OF TABLES VII 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 BACKGROUND 1 1.2 MOTIVATION 2 1.3 RESEARCH FRAMEWORK 3 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1 OVERBOOKING 6 2.2 ALLOCATION OF DISCOUNT SEATS 7 2.3 DYNAMIC PRICING POLICY 8 2.4 BEHAVIOR OF CUSTOMER CHOICE 10 2.5 RANDOM UTILITY AND MNL MODELS 11 3 MODEL CONSRUCTION 13 3.1 PROBLEM STATEMENT 13 3.2 MODEL FRAMEWORK 16 3.2.1 Model Description 17 3.2.2 Customer Choice Process 19 3.2.3 Optimal Pricing Policy 20 3.3 THE STRUCTURE OF OPTIMAL PRICING POLICY 24 4 NUMERICAL ANALYSIS 27 4.1 TICKET PRICING EXAMPLES 27 4.2 EXPECTED REVENUE EVALUATION 31 4.3 REVENUE IMPACT OF DYNAMIC PRICING POLICIES 34 5 CONCLUSIONS 36 REFERENCES 38

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