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研究生: 張煒聖
Wei-Sheng Chang
論文名稱: 智慧財產權保護之投資計劃評價─實質選擇權法之應用
Valuation of a Project with Intellectual Property Rights:Real Options Approach
指導教授: 蔡錦堂
Jiing-Tarng Tsay
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 科技管理研究所
Institute of Technology Management
論文出版年: 2003
畢業學年度: 91
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 83
中文關鍵詞: 實質選擇權智慧財產權最小平方法
外文關鍵詞: Real options, Intellectual property rights, Least square method
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  • 本文「由實質選擇權概念出發,輔以美式選擇權運做模式」,並以模擬的方式評價擁有智慧財產權保護的計劃價值,不同於以往評價智慧財產權的方式,其中考慮的因素包括計劃研發的期望完成成本,與研發投資完成時間的不確定性,對現金流量的實現時間以及其存續期間的影響,另對手亦進入市場並瓜分市場之不確定性因素,將使得經理人考量中途放棄投資或提前停止生產的可能,故能較準確的對擁有智慧財產權保護的計劃做評價。


    This article presents a simulation approach for valuing a project with intellectual property rights based on the American option valuation method. It takes into account uncertainty in the cost-to-completion of R&D and uncertainty in the cash flows generated from this project. Besides, we should pay close attention to the rivals entering the market and sharing the cash flows as well as the managers could abandon the project in the investing period. It evaluates the project with intellectual property rights precisely.

    摘要 II Abstract III 表目錄 VI 圖目錄 VII 第壹章、 緒論 1 第一節、 研究背景 1 第二節、 研究動機與目的 2 第三節、 研究架構 4 第貳章、 文獻回顧 5 第一節、 實質選擇權 5 第一項、 實質選擇權簡介 5 第二項、 實質選擇權計價方法 8 第三項、 實質選擇權與傳統評價法 9 第二節、 智慧財產權評價理論 12 第一項、 經驗法則 12 第二項、 成本評價法 13 第三項、 比較法 14 第四項、 淨現金流量法 15 第五項、 市場殘值法 17 第六項、 選擇權鑑價法 18 第三節、 智慧財產權評價文獻 20 第四節、 智慧財產權保護期限 22 第五節、 實質選擇權應用於R&D投資評價 23 第參章、 研究方法 26 第一節、 模型介紹 26 第一項、 期望完成成本不確定性 27 第二項、 現金流量不確定性 28 第三項、 實質選擇權法下之投資價值 28 第四項、 淨現金流量法下之投資價值 30 第二節、 研究過程 31 第一項、 Least Square Method 31 第二項、 智慧財產權評價 38 第肆章、 研究結果 41 第一節、 模擬參數的設定 41 第二節、 模擬結果與交叉比較 44 第一項、 模擬結果 44 第二項、 交叉比較 48 第伍章、 結論與建議 60 參考文獻 62 附 錄 66

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