研究生: |
陳逸璇 Chen, Yi-Hsuan |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
探討信用保證機制對中小企業融資之反景氣循環功能—以中小企業信用保證基金為例 The Countercyclical Role of Credit Guarantee mechanism in SMEs Financing: Evidence from Small and Medium Enterprise Credit Guarantee Fund of Taiwan |
指導教授: |
黃朝熙
Huang, Chao-Hsi |
口試委員: |
周瑞賢
Chou, Jui-Hsien 吳易樺 Wu, Yi-Hua |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 公共政策與管理 Master Program of Public Policy and Management |
論文出版年: | 2025 |
畢業學年度: | 113 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 52 |
中文關鍵詞: | 中小企業 、信用保證 、紓困貸款 、信保基金 |
外文關鍵詞: | Small and Medium Enterprises, Credit Guarantee, Relief Loans, TSMEG |
相關次數: | 點閱:1 下載:0 |
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臺灣中小企業向來是推動國內經濟前進的核心力量,然而在取得外部融資方面卻往往遭遇困難,其困境可能來自於中小企業本身財務結構較脆弱、擔保品不足、財務報表不夠透明等內部因素,也可能受到信用市場存在信用分配(credit rationing)、銀行授信順循環(procyclical lending behavior)等外部因素影響。為能協助中小企業營運發展,我國政府於1974年設立中小企業信用保證基金,旨在透過信用保證機制,分攤金融機構對中小企業融資之風險,協助中小企業取得融資。
過往實證研究對於信用保證機制有助於緩解信用分配問題、協助中小企業自金融機構取得貸款之融資增進功能有較多著墨,然而當景氣衰退時,面對銀行傾向對中小企業採取較保守的放款態度,信用保證機制是否能適時發揮反景氣循環功能等相關層面之探討則較少。
我國政府過去於金融海嘯以及嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情(COVID-19)疫情等紓困時期進行信用市場之干預,並實施特別信用保證措施,以提高保證成數、提高保證融資總額度上限、降低手續費率、配合銀行公會債權債務協商機制等方式作為紓困政策工具,目的皆希望在遭逢景氣衝擊時,能協助中小企業解決融資困境、維持其資金流動性。為探討信用保證機制之功能,本文運用向量自我迴歸(VAR)模型及衝擊反應函數(IRF),依據2007年第一季至2023年第四季之時間序列資料進行實證分析,並得到結論:信用保證機制作為中小企業融資協處的政策工具之一,不僅有助於改善金融市場的信用分配,對具發展潛力中小企業給予助益,同時在經濟景氣下行時期,亦能減緩銀行雨天收傘之授信順循環現象,有效發揮信用保證機制之反景氣循環功能,穩定中小企業融資環境。
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Taiwan have long been the driving force behind the nation's economic growth. However, they often encounter difficulties in obtaining external financing. These challenges may stem from internal factors, such as the relatively weak financial structure of SMEs, insufficient collateral, and a lack of financial transparency. Alternatively, external factors, including the presence of credit rationing in the credit market and the banks’ procyclical lending behavior, may also contribute to these financing difficulties. To support the development of SMEs, the Small and Medium Enterprise Credit Guarantee Fund of Taiwan (TSMEG) was established in 1974, aiming to share financing risks with financial institutions through credit guarantee mechanism and assist SMEs in obtaining financing.
Previous empirical studies have extensively examined the role of the credit guarantee mechanism in alleviating credit rationing issues and enhancing SMEs’ access to loans from financial institutions. However, relatively few studies have explored whether the credit guarantee mechanism can effectively serve a counter-cyclical function when economic downturns prompt banks to adopt more conservative lending policies toward SMEs.
This study examines the government's intervention in the credit market during past economic relief periods, such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, through the implementation of special credit guarantee measures. These measures were adopted as policy tools for economic relief and included increasing the guarantee coverage ratio, raising the maximum guaranteed financing amount, reducing guarantee fees, and coordinating with the Bankers Association’s debt negotiation mechanisms. These policies aim to assist small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in overcoming financing difficulties and maintaining liquidity during periods of economic downturn.
To analyze the effectiveness of these interventions, this study employs a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model and Impulse Response Function (IRF), utilizing quarterly time-series data from Q1 2007 to Q4 2023. The empirical findings indicate that the credit guarantee mechanism, as a policy tool for facilitating SME financing, not only alleviating credit rationing in financial markets and benefits SMEs with growth potential but also mitigates the procyclical behavior of banks, helping SMEs secure financing even during economic downturns. The results highlight the countercyclical function of the credit guarantee mechanism that stabilizes the SME financing environment.
一、中文文獻
1. 丁曉萍(1995):“中小企業信用保證制度之探討,” 東吳大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
2. 小企業信用保證基金(2004):“推行中小企業信用保證制度三十年”。
3. 中央銀行(2023):“中華民國公民營企業資金狀況調查結果報告”。
4. 王聖元(2023):“台灣總體經濟動態對壽險業新契約保費之影響,” 保險專刊, 39 (2), 161-179。
5. 汪建南、林文琇(2002):“金融監理的順循環問題及其改善對策,” 國際金融參考資料,第四十七輯,216-225。
6. 周添城、黃博怡、葉立仁、馬珂、張文龍(2007):“運用政策性專案貸款及信用保證制度推動產業發展之檢討,” 經建會/實踐大學。
7. 胡齡月(2006):“信用保證、金融機構與經濟成長-臺灣實證研究,” 國立臺灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
8. 袁明儀、周德鎬、陳民琦、許少玲(2006):“信用保證理念與我國中小企業信用保證機制之介紹,”《中小企業發展季刊》,創刊號,167-198
9. 張鈞(2005):“中小企業信用保證基金制度之研究,” 國立臺灣大學國際企業管理組碩士論文。
10. 陳彩勤(2017):“台日中小企業信用保證政策效果之比較研究-2008年金融風暴為例,” 淡江大學亞洲研究所碩士在職專班碩士論文。
11. 陳錦村(1996):“銀行授信客戶之甄選:層級分析法的應用與比較,”《臺大管理論叢》,7(2),1-27
12. 陳嬿如(2009):“政府干預信用分配對外部資金取得的影響,” 國立清華大學經濟學系碩士論文。
13. 楊蓁海(2006):“我國銀行授信行為與景氣循環的關係:兼論新版巴賽爾資本協定的順循環影響效果暨其因應之道,”《中央銀行季刊》,28(1),43-72
14. 經濟部(2009):“2009年製造業國內投資實況調查報告”。
15. 經濟部中小及新創企業署(2024):“中小企業白皮書”。
16. 詹建隆(2012):“中小企業融資缺口初探,”《臺灣經濟研究月刊》,35(5),62-68
17. 趙莊敏、李俊德(2009):“金融海嘯衝擊下政府如何協助中小企業解決資金困境之探討,”《新竹教育大學人文社會會報》,第2卷第2期,203-228
二、英文文獻
1. Acharya V (2001), “A Theory of Systemic Risk and Design of Prudential Bank Regulation,” London Business School Working Paper.
2. Gutentage J and R. Herring (1984), “Credit Rationing and Financial Disorder,” Journal of Finance 39.
3. Lawrence J. Christiano (2012), “Christopher A. Sims and Vector Autoregressions, ” Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell,114(4),1082-1104.
4. OECD (2006), “The SME Financing Gap (Vol. I): Theory and Evidence”.
5. OECD (2021), “One year of SME and entrepreneurship policy responses to COVID-19: Lessons learned to “build back better”,” OECD Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19).
6. Sims, Christopher A., “Macroeconomics and Reality,” Econometrica, 1980, 48 (1), 1–48.
7. Smith, B. D. and Stutzer, M. (1989), “Credit rationing and Government Loan Programs: A Welfare Analysis,” American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association Journal:17, 177-93
8. Stiglitz, J. and A. Weiss (1981), “Credit Rationing in Markets with Incomplete Information,” American Economic Review, vol. 71, No. 3, 393-410
三、網路資訊
1. 中華民國資訊統計網-統計資料庫, https://nstatdb.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbasall/webMain.aspx?sys=210&funid=A050104010
2. 金融監督管理委員會銀行局-統計資料庫動態查詢系統, https://survey.banking.gov.tw/statis/webMain.aspx?k=defjsp
3. 財團法人中小企業信用保證基金, https://www.smeg.org.tw/