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研究生: 安娜
Ana Karina Flores
論文名稱: Economics of the Illicit Drug Industry: A Case Study of Honduras
非藥物經濟學以宏都拉斯為例
指導教授: 周瑞賢
Chou, Jui-Hsien
口試委員: 張寶塔
Chang, Bao-Taa
盧姝璇
Lu, Shu-Shiuan
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 國際專業管理碩士班
International Master of Business Administration(IMBA)
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 72
中文關鍵詞: 洪都拉斯
外文關鍵詞: Economic Illicit Industry, Drugtrafficking, Economic Impact
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  • By gathering and analyzing data, this paper offers a formal analysis of drug
    trafficking in Honduras. The final purpose is to present an estimate of the economic
    impact of the industry in the country; because data for the area is very difficult to
    acquire, very few empirical studies of the topic in Honduras exist, making this one of
    the first in its nature. The analysis measures the economic model of drug trafficking
    as well as its position in the world’s market. It also analyzes the policy impacts and
    the alternatives to the current war on drugs. Finally, the study presents the main
    findings and impacts of the industry in Honduras. The author acknowledges that in
    various parts of the country the drug-trafficking industry helps to relieve poverty and
    underdevelopment, however it concludes that the negative impacts are much higher,
    the intangible costs include the high violence, corruption and migration and the
    tangible costs add up to US$ 796.5 million annually, such high value is definitely
    preventing economic growth. Recommendations on policy changes are proposed.


    ABSTRACT 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 3 TABLE OF FIGURES 5 TABLE OF TABLES 5 MOTIVATION AND FINDING OF NEED 7 PROBLEM STATEMENT 8 METHODOLOGY 9 1. ILLICIT DRUG MARKET OVERVIEW 10 1.1 Drug Classes 11 1.2 Global statistics, trends and analysis overview 14 2. ECONOMICS OF DRUG-TRAFFICKING 19 2.1 Market Value 19 2.2 Economic Model – The Supply Chain 20 2.3 Distribution of Illicit Drug Proceeds 25 2.4 Illicit Drug Proceeds and the Financial System 28 2.5 Market’s Demand 30 3. POLICY IMPACTS 32 3.1 The War on Drugs 32 3.2 Alternatives to illegality 35 3.3 Impacts of Legalization 38 4. IMPLICATIONS OF THE DRUG INDUSTRY IN HONDURAS 40 4.1 Scope of the Industry 40 Evolution of the Industry 44 4.2 Honduran Capacity on Fighting Drug Traffic 47 4.3 Honduras as a Key Player in the Drug Trafficking Scene 50 Drug Trafficking Routes and Logistics 51 Drug Trafficking Organizations 57 4.4 Economic Consequences of Drug Trafficking in Honduras 62 5. RECOMMENDATIONS 69 REFERENCES 70

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