研究生: |
黃雅琪 |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
時間序列迴歸參數之穩健估計 |
指導教授: | 周若珍 |
口試委員: | |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
理學院 - 統計學研究所 Institute of Statistics |
論文出版年: | 2005 |
畢業學年度: | 93 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 30 |
中文關鍵詞: | 最小平方法 、完全修正最小平方法 、M估計 、完全修正M 估計 |
外文關鍵詞: | OLS, FM-OLS, M-estimator, FM-M |
相關次數: | 點閱:3 下載:0 |
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摘要
迴歸分析自18世紀發展至今日,已成為重要的數據分析工具,被廣泛用於各領域。在某些假設下高斯馬可夫定理證明,最小平方估計為迴歸參數之最佳估計。然而資料往往無法滿足這些假設,導致最小平方估計的代表性不足。多位學者致力研究迴歸參數之穩健估計,並且發展參數之完全修正估計。本文主要探討迴歸參數之最小平方估計、穩健的M估計,與它們的完全修正估計。文中分別討論四種估計量與其漸進分配。透過模擬實驗,本文驗證在許多情況下,完全修正法確實可以大幅提高參數估計之精準度。本文亦依據此建議完全修正最小平方法,和完全修正M估計法適合使用的時機。實證部份以名目利率和通貨膨脹率驗證台灣經濟並未出現「費雪效果」。
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