研究生: |
王馨甜 Hsin-Tien Wang |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
商業性不動產抵押貸款證券評價與分析 The Pricing and Analysis of Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities |
指導教授: |
王國明
Kou-Ming Wang 林哲群 Che-Chun Lin |
口試委員: | |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 科技管理研究所 Institute of Technology Management |
論文出版年: | 2004 |
畢業學年度: | 93 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 48 |
中文關鍵詞: | 商業性不動產抵押貸款證券 、提前清償模型 、提前清償罰則 、CIR模型 |
外文關鍵詞: | Commercial mortgage backed securities, Prepayment model, Prepay penalties, CIR model |
相關次數: | 點閱:2 下載:0 |
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台灣的經濟環境隨著產業轉型,伴隨而來的將是龐大的商業不動產需求,因此商業性不動產抵押貸款證券勢必成為未來的發展趨勢。本研究以商業性不動產抵押貸款證券為研究主題,目前國內資產證券化的相關文獻,大多偏重於住宅抵押貸款證券相關議題的探討,針對商業性不動產抵押貸款證券的研究則相當缺乏。商業性不動產抵押貸款證券與住宅抵押貸款證券的特性不盡相同,由於商業不動產抵押貸款的金額較住宅抵押貸款龐大,若遭受提前清償,則所影響的層面較為深遠,因此其主要差異之一為商業性不動產抵押貸款證券具有提前清償罰則(Prepayment Penalties)。提前清償罰則的設定對提前清償行為以及證券的現金流量均會造成影響,進而影響商業性不動產抵押貸款證券價格。本研究採用CIR利率模型以及蒙地卡羅模擬法,並考慮提前清償罰則的設定,發展商業性不動產抵押貸款證券的評價架構,且探討提前清償罰則對提前清償比例以及評價結果的影響。
The economic environment of Taiwan has changed. The demand of commercial mortgage has become huge. The commercial mortgage backed securities would be the main trend and be popular in financial market. Commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) is different from residential mortgage backed securities. Much larger size of the underlying loans and the much smaller number of them magnify the prepayment risk for CMBS. In the CMBS market, the vast majority of mortgages have some form of prepayment penalty. The prepayment penalty would affect prepayment behavior and cash flow of CMBS. So, it will affect the price of CMBS. The research develops the pricing model of CMBS with CIR interest model and Monte Carlo simulation method. And to probe into how prepayment penalty to affect prepayment ratio and price of CMBS.
一、中文部分
1. 陳文達、李阿乙、廖咸興,「資產證券化-理論與實務」,智勝文化事業有限公司,2002年。
二、英文部分
1. Abraham, Jesse M. and Scott Theobald. (1997). “A Simple Prepayment Model of Commercial Mortgages,” Journal of Housing Economics 6, 31-59.
2. Capone, Charles A., Jr. and Lawrence Goldberg. (1998). ”Motivating and Modeling Multifamily Mortgage Prepayment Rates,” conference paper read at AREUEA meeting, January 6, 1998.
3. Cox, John, John Ingersoll, Jr. and Steve Ross.(1985). "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica 53(2), 385-407.
4. Elmer, Peter J. and Anton E. Haidorfer. (1997). "Prepayments of Multifamily Mortgage-Backed Securities," The Journal of Fixed Income 6 (4), 50-63.
5. Follain, James R., Wenyi-Vivien Huang, and Jan Ondrich. (1999). “Stay, Pay or WalkAway:A Hazard Rate analysis of FHA-Insured Multifamily Mortgage Terminations,” Paper read at January 1999 AREUEA Meeting.
6. Follain, James R., Jan Ondrich, and Gyan Sinha. (1997). “Ruthless Prepayment? Evidence from Multifamily Mortgages,” Journal of Urban Economcs 41 (January), 78-101.
7. Kau, James B., Donald C. Keenan, Walter J. Muller, and James F. Epperson .(1990). “Pricing Commercial Mortgages and Their Mortgage-Backed Securities,” Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 3 (4), 333-356.
8. Kelly, Austin and V. Carlos Slawson. (2001). “Time-Varying Mortgage Prepayment Penalty ,” Journal of Estate Finance and Economics 23, 235-354.
9. Maxam, Clark L. and Jeffrey D. Fisher . (2001). “Pricing Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities,” Journal of Investment and Finance 19 (6), 498-518.
10. Qiang Fu; LaCour-Little, Michael; Vandell, Kerry D. (2002). “Commercial Mortgage Prepayment Penalty Structures,” Journal of Real Estate Research 25 (3), 246-295.
11. Titman, Sheridan, and Walter Torous. (1989). “Valuing Commercial Mortgages:An Empirical Investigation of the Contingent Claims Approach to Pricing Risky Debt,” Journal of Finance 44 (2), 345-373.
12. Vandell, Kerry D. (1992), ”Predicting Commercial Mortgage Foreclosure Experience,” AREUEA Journal 20 (1), 55-88.
13. Vandell, Kerry, Walter Barnes, David Hartzell, Dennis Kraft, and William Wendt. (1993). “Commercial Mortgage Defaults: Proportional Hazards Estimation Using Individual Loan Histories,” AREUREA Journal 21 (4), 451-480.