簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 林士豪
Lin, Shih-Hao.
論文名稱: 民主轉型、公民社會和貧富差距
Democratic Transition, Civil Society and the Gap Between the Haves and the Have-nots, 1991-2016.
指導教授: 林宗弘
Lin, Thung-Hong
口試委員: 陳志柔
吳文欽
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 人文社會學院 - 社會學研究所
Institute of Sociology
論文出版年: 2020
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 56
中文關鍵詞: 收入不平等公民社會民主轉型廣義合成控制方法
外文關鍵詞: income inequality, civil society, democratic transition, Generalized Synthetic Control Method
相關次數: 點閱:3下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 過去公民社會與收入不平等研究,侷限個案研究與歷史分析,難以跨國比較,而民主轉型與收入不平等研究,則缺乏公民社會獨立分析的視角,本文在處理這兩點限制後,進一步分析公民社會、民主,對收入不平等的作用。
    藉由跨國實證資料,本文證實公民社會的活躍,無論政權是否民主轉型,均能減緩吉尼係數增加;使用數據自1991年至2016年,共27年141國,並採用廣義合成控制方法(Generalized Synthetic Control Method),以未民主轉型國家模擬民主轉型國家,控制民主轉型對於吉尼係數的效果,以此說明不是民主轉型發揮作用,而是公民社會減低了收入不平等。
    而自變項公民社會、重要控制變項民主,分別取自Varieties of Democracy的專家衡量指標、Polity IV計畫,並控制不同階級政治平等程度指標、社會福利普及指標,評估對於收入分配不平等的影響,而本文亦將公民社會透過民主中介,才能影響收入不平等的效果,以交互作用控制,結果證實公民社會活躍,是降低收入不平等的關鍵因素。


    Is civil society or does democracy reduce income inequality? With regard to this question, previous literatures actually didn’t have too much discussion on this topic. Researchers tend to discuss income inequality in their respective fields of civil society and democratic transition. Therefore, the research on income inequality in both fields has limitations. Civil society researches in the income inequality area are limited to case studies and historical analysis. Those researches were difficult to compare in cross-national level. In contrast to civil society research in the income inequality area, the democratic transition research in the income inequality area are widely applied the cross-national method. However, it lacked the independent perspective analysis of civil society. This paper will deal with these two limitations. Examining the hypothesis about is civil society and democratic transition reduces income inequality.
    In order to estimate the democratic transition effect on income inequality more unbiased. This paper will use the Generalized Synthetic Control Method. It is the method that answering what if democratic transition didn’t happen, is income inequality will worsen or not. It can examine the democratic transition effect more intuitively. Hence, statistical result is easier to interpret.
    To sum up, the statistical result shows that democratic transition effect is not the key factor that can reduce inequality. The vibrant civil society, regardless of the regime type, can reduce the Gini coefficient. Even if democratic mediator variable is added to the model to control the interaction between civil society and democracy, civil society can still significantly reduce income inequality. In other words, the analysis of civil society and inequality based on case studies in the past actually has the effect of general theory.

    目次 一、導言 5 二、文獻回顧 (一)民主與收入不平等 9 (二)公民社會與收入不平等 11 (三)公民社會、民主與收入不平等 12 (四)研究問題 14 三、資料與研究方法 (一)資料整併與來源 17 (二)變項說明 18 (三)研究方法:廣義合成控制方法 25 四、統計結果與分析 (一)描述統計 30 (二)推論統計 32 (三)敏感性測試 34 (四)研究成果小結 38 五、結語 (一)研究限制 40 (二)結論 42 六、參考文獻 44 七、附錄 (一)全樣本固定效應交互作用模型 48 (二)民主與公民社會 49 (三)公民社會、民主中介變項作為處方變項 52 (四)變項相關係數表 55

    六、參考文獻
    林宗弘,2007,〈民主與威權的制度績效:亞洲四小龍政治經濟發展的量化分
    析〉,《台灣政治學刊》,第11卷第1期,頁3-67。
    趙鼎新,2018,《合法性的政治:當代中國的國家與社會關係》。台北:台大出
    版中心。
    Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493–505.
    Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2002). The Political Economy of the Kuznets Curve. Review of Development Economics, 6(2), 183–203.
    Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2005). Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy: Economic and Political Origins. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P., & Robinson, J. A. (2013). Democracy, Redistribution and Inequality. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
    Achim Zeileis (2017). pwt9: Penn World Table (Version 9.x). R package version 9.0-0. URL https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=pwt9.
    Aliyev, H. (2015). Post-Communist Civil Society and the Soviet Legacy: Challenges of Democratisation and Reform in the Caucasus. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan.
    Alvaredo, F., Chancel, L., Piketty, T., Saez, E., & Zucman, G. (2018). World inequality report 2018. Cambridge, MA: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.
    Ansell, B., & Samuels, D. (2010). Inequality and Democratization: A Contractarian Approach. Comparative Political Studies, 43(12), 1543–1574.
    Asian Development Bank (2011).Civil Society Briefs: Kyrgyz Republic. URL https://www.adb.org/publications/civil-society-briefs-kyrgyz-republic.
    Austin, B., Fischer, M., & Giessmann, H.-J. (2011). Advancing conflict transformation: the Berghof handbook Ii. Opladen: Barbara Budrich Publishers.
    Bădescu, G., Sum, P., & Uslaner, E. M. (2004). Civil Society Development and Democratic Values in Romania and Moldova. East European Politics and Societies: And Cultures, 18(2), 316-341.
    Bai, J. (2009). Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects. Econometrica, 77(4), 1229–1279.
    Balcázar, C. F. (2016). Long-run effects of democracy on income inequality in Latin America. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 14(3), 289–307.
    Berman, S. (1997). Civil Society and the Collapse of the Weimar Republic. World Politics, 49(3), 401–429.
    Bernhard, M., & Jung, D.-J. (2017). Civil Society and Income Inequality in Post-Communist Eurasia. Comparative Politics, 49(3), 373–397.
    Boix. (2003). Democracy and Redistribution. Cambridge University Press.
    Bunyan, P. (2016). The role of civil society in reducing poverty and inequality: A case study of the living wage campaign in the UK. Local Economy. The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit, 31(4), 489–501.
    Chancel, L., Hough, A., & Voituriez, T. (2017). Reducing Inequalities within Countries: Assessing the Potential of the Sustainable Development Goals. Global Policy, 9(1), 5–16.
    Coppedge, Michael, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Staffan I. Lindberg, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Michael Bernhard, Agnes Cornell, M. Steven Fish, Haakon Gjerløw, Adam Glynn, Allen Hicken, Joshua Krusell, Anna Lührmann, Kyle L. Marquardt, Kelly McMann, Valeriya Mechkova, Moa Olin, Pamela Paxton, Daniel Pemstein, Brigitte Seim, Rachel Sigman, Jeffrey Staton, Aksel Sundtröm, Eitan Tzelgov, Luca Uberti, Yi-ting Wang, Tore Wig, and Daniel Ziblatt. 2019. "V-Dem Codebook v9" Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project.
    Diamond, L. (1992). Economic Development and Democracy Reconsidered. American Behavioral Scientist, 35(4-5), 450–499.
    Dormann, C.G. & Elith, Jane & Bacher, Sven & Buchmann, Carsten & Carl, G. & Carré, G. & García Márquez, Jaime & Gruber, Bernd & Lafourcade, B. & Leitão, Pedro & Münkemüller, Tamara & Mcclean, Colin & Osborne, Patrick & Reineking, Björn & Schröder, Boris & Skidmore, Andrew & Zurell, Damaris & Lautenback, S. (2012). Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography, 36(1), 27–46.
    Esping-Andersen, G. (2015). The three worlds of welfare capitalism. Cambridge: Polity Press.
    Ekiert, G., Kubik, J., & Wenzel, M. (2017). Civil Society and Three Dimensions of Inequality in Post-1989 Poland. Comparative Politics, 49(3), 331–350.
    Fisher, S. (2016). Political change in post-communist slovakia and croatia: from nationalist to europeanist. Place of publication not identified: Palgrave Macmillan.
    Flavin, P. (2016). Labor Union Strength and the Equality of Political Representation. British Journal of Political Science, 48(4).
    Flemming, J., & Micklewright, J. (2000). Chapter 14 Income distribution, economic systems and transition. Handbook of Income Distribution, 843-918.
    Geishecker, I., & Haisken-DeNew, J. P. (2004). Landing on all fours? Communist elites in post-Soviet Russia. Journal of Comparative Economics, 32(4), 700–719.
    Heinrich, V. (2010). What makes civil society strong? An innovative approach to conceptualising, measuring and analysing the strength of civil society in 43 countries. Hagen.
    Houle, C. (2010). Inequality, economic development, and democracy. New York: University of Rochester.
    Jarstad, A. D., Sisk, T. D., & Belloni, R. (2009). From war to democracy: dilemmas of peacebuilding. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Karakoc, E. (2012). Economic inequality and its asymmetric effect on civic engagement: evidence from post-communist countries. European Political Science Review, 5(2), 197–223.
    Korpi, W. (1985). Power Resources Approach vs. Action and Conflict: On Causal and Intentional Explanations in the Study of Power. Sociological Theory, 3(2), 31.
    Kuznets, Simon.(1955). Economic Growth and Income Inequality. The American Economic Review 45 (1): 1-28.
    MIHAIL ARANDARENKO, GORANA KRSTIĆ AND JELENA ŽARKOVIĆ RAKIĆ .(2017, November). Analysing Income Inequality in Serbia: From Data to Policy ... Retrieved from https://www.fren.org.rs/node/654?lang=en
    Marshall, M. G. (2014). Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions,1800-2013. URL http://www.systemicpeace.org/polity/polity4x.htm.
    Ōno Kenichi. (2015). Eastern and Western ideas for African growth: diversity and complementarity in development aid. London: Taylor et Francis.
    Przeworski, A., & Limongi, F. (1997). Modernization: Theories and Facts. World Politics, 49(2), 155–183.
    Przeworski, A. (2003). Democracy and the market: political and economic reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    Puljek-Shank, R., & Verkoren, W. (2016). Civil society in a divided society: Linking legitimacy and ethnicness of civil society organizations in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Cooperation and Conflict, 52(2), 184–202.
    Putnam, Robert D. with Robert Leonardi and Raffaella Nanetti (1993). Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. Princeton, New Jersey, USA: Princeton University Press.
    Rodrik, D. (1999). Democracies Pay Higher Wages. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(3), 707–738.
    Rueschemeyer, D., Huber, E., & Stephens, J. D. (2005). Capitalist development and democracy. Chicago, Ill: University of Chicago Press.
    Rueschemeyer, D. (2004). Addressing Inequality. Journal of Democracy, 15(4), 76-90.
    Solt, Frederick. 2019. “Measuring Income Inequality Across Countries and Over Time: The Standardized World Income Inequality Database.” SWIID Version 8.2, February 2019.
    Satyanath, S., Voigtländer, N., & Voth, H.-J. (2017). Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party. Journal of Political Economy, 125(2), 478–526.
    Tarrow, S. (2000). Making Social Science Work Across Space and Time: A Critical Reflection on Robert Putnam’s Making Democracy Work. Culture and Politics, 235–248.
    Timmons, J. F. (2010). Does Democracy Reduce Economic Inequality? British Journal of Political Science, 40(04), 741-757.
    Tibshirani, R. (1996). Regression Shrinkage and Selection Via the Lasso. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 58(1), 267–288.
    Way, L. (2014). Civil Society and Democratization. Journal of Democracy, 25(3), 35–43.
    World development indicators. Washington, D.C. :The World Bank.
    Xu, Y. (2017). Generalized Synthetic Control Method: Causal Inference with Interactive Fixed Effects Models. Political Analysis, 25(1), 57–76.
    Yemelyanau, M. (2008). Inequality in Belarus from 1995 to 2005. SSRN Electronic Journal.
    Zakaria, F., & Yew, L. K. (1994). Culture Is Destiny: A Conversation with Lee Kuan
    Yew. Foreign Affairs, 73(2), 109.

    QR CODE