研究生: |
林志偉 Lin, Chih-Wei |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
不歸還取樣模式下之生物多樣性估計 Estimation of Biodiversity in Sampling without Replacement |
指導教授: |
趙蓮菊
Chao, Anne |
口試委員: | |
學位類別: |
博士 Doctor |
系所名稱: |
理學院 - 統計學研究所 Institute of Statistics |
論文出版年: | 2009 |
畢業學年度: | 97 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 138 |
中文關鍵詞: | 不歸還取樣 、超幾何分配 、種類數 |
外文關鍵詞: | sampling without replacement, hypergeometric distribution, species richness |
相關次數: | 點閱:2 下載:0 |
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一般野外調查可分為歸還及不歸還抽樣模式,過去的文獻主要都是架
構在歸還取樣模式下估計群落的種類數,對於不歸還取樣模式下之種
類數估計文獻較少且估計亦較複雜。如何透過統計方法,提供不歸還
取樣模式下之生物多樣性估計便是本文的研究主題。本論文主要分成
兩大部分,第一部份為單一群落之多樣性探討,主題包括種類數、樣
本數及種類預測函數估計。第二部分為多群落之多樣性探討,主題包
含二群及三群落以上之共同種類數估計。
(一) 單一群落的多樣性探討
種類數估計
種類數是單一群落最直覺的多樣性指標,過去文獻主要是架
構在歸還取樣模式下進行估計,對於不歸還抽樣模式下之文
獻則並不多,並且估計量也較複雜。本文主要是利用科西-史
瓦滋不等式,提出不歸還取樣模式下之種類數估計及其變異
數估計,此估計量形式簡潔可更易於生態學家所使用。
樣本數估計
樣本數估計一直是生態學家所感興趣的問題,大多數的統計
方法只求得了種類數的估計及變異數,但極少指出需要再抽
多少的樣本才能看到原先樣本所估計的種類數。關於此類的
問題相關文獻並不多,本文則是架構在不歸還取樣模式下,
提供樣本數之估計量及其變異數估計。
種類預測函數估計
種類預測函數可評估再次取樣之效益,主要問題是利用第一
次基礎樣本的訊息來預測第二次抽樣可能出現的新種類數。
過去文獻主要都是架構在歸還取樣的方式下推導其估計量,
本文主要是架構在不歸還取樣模式下,將過去表現較佳的種
類預測函數估計量推廣至此模式下,並提供其變異數估計。
(二) 多群落之多樣性探討
多群落的比較亦是生態上另一個重要的課題,包含探討同一個地
區不同時間點的變化或同一座森林不同緯度物種的變化,亦可探
討不同地區的群落差異。早期的文獻,有關共同種類數的估計方
法較少深入探討,傳統作法都是直接以出現在樣本中的共同種類
數當作估計值,此種估計明顯嚴重低估。對於架構在不歸還取樣
模式下,至目前為止對於多群落之共同種類數估計方法尚無相關
文獻,本文主要提供二群落及三群落以上之共同種類數估計及其
變異數估計。
本文除了理論推導所提出之種類數估計量外,並且以電腦模擬比較本
文的方法與過去文獻上的其它方法。對於樣本數、種類預測函數及多
群落共同種類數主題,亦提供電腦模擬以瞭解其估計量的表現。對於
不同主題,本文亦附加一些合適的實例分析,以說明其應用方式。
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