研究生: |
邱智群 |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
變數選擇於批次製程的線上品質預測及應用分析 Variable selection for final product quality prediction and quality-related analysis of batch processes |
指導教授: | 姚遠 |
口試委員: |
汪上曉
陳榮輝 姚遠 |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
工學院 - 化學工程學系 Department of Chemical Engineering |
論文出版年: | 2013 |
畢業學年度: | 101 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 51 |
中文關鍵詞: | 批次製程 、品質預測 、製程分析 、變數選擇 |
相關次數: | 點閱:3 下載:0 |
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在工業的批次製程中,最終的產品品質是由每個批次中的製程變數軌跡來決定的。因此,在建立預測品質模型時,我們有兩個重要的問題必須考慮。(1)每個批次過程中,製程變數軌跡的動態特性連續累積的來影響產品的最終品質;(2)每個製程變數在不同的時間階段下對產品的影響是不相同的,因此我們必須將這種累積影響與時間變化的特性做一個良好的解釋,以利我們建立準確的品質預測模型。
在傳統的多變數統計迴歸方法並無法良好將製程中變數的動態特性考慮進去,所以無法良好看出每個時刻對最終品質的重要性,因此在本篇論文中提出multiway group lasso (MGL)和multiway elastic net (MEN)兩種方法,均基於正規化(regularization)的變數選擇方法上,具有變數選擇及線性迴歸的特性,可以自動的調整出良好的品質預測模型迴歸係數,並將批次製程的上述兩種特性考慮進去。在透過適當的數據預處理方法後MGL和MEN相比於傳統的多變數統計迴歸方法均有更好的預測結果,並能對製程的物理特性做出良好的解釋,其中MEN相比於其他方法更顯現出準確的預測準確度。而在線上產品品質時所需的未來數據,本文推薦採用基於k-nearest neighhor (kNN)方法來估計未來數據。最終藉由本論文提出的數據預處理方法結合kNN估計方法,將MGL和MEN方法應用於射出成形機製程中,可以從結果看出MGL和MEN不僅提高了線上品質預測能力並且也提升了對製程機理過程的了解。
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