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研究生: 林宜槿
Lin, Yi-Jin
論文名稱: 銀行所有權與其放款行為在景氣循環和金融危機期間之反應:臺灣的實證研究
Bank ownership and lending behavior over business cycles and financial crises: Evidence from Taiwan
指導教授: 黃朝熙
Huang, Chao-Hsi
口試委員: 林世昌
Lin, Shih-Chang
林靜儀
Lin, Ching-Yi
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 64
中文關鍵詞: 公股銀行放款景氣循環金融危機
外文關鍵詞: government-owned banks, lending, business cycles, financial crises
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  • 本研究旨在利用1999年11月至2017年7月台灣的銀行財務報表資料,探討銀行業其經營所有權的不同—公股銀行與民營銀行,兩者在面對金融危機與景氣衰退時的貸放反應行為是否會有所差異,並觀察公股銀行是否真能在經濟體系資金緊縮時提供信用,以避免景氣進一步惡化。我們的實證結果發現,銀行貸放決策主要與其所承做的放款業務相關:民營銀行呈現出順景氣循環的貸放特性,其中較注重消費層面的貸款;公股銀行則以維持企業資金穩定為目標,而且有別於民營銀行雨天收傘的決策行為,在景氣收縮與金融危機發生期間的貸放收傘程度較小,甚至對中小企業放款是出現持續增加的授信模式。此結果對於台灣的企業多數以中小企業為主而言,在信用緊縮期間公股銀行確實有助於減緩民營銀行收傘對中小企業所帶來的負面衝擊,對於實體經濟面的運作具有其重要貢獻。


    This study examines the impact of bank ownership (in government-owned and domestic private banks) on lending behavior over business cycles and financial crises in Taiwan. We use a panel dataset of banks' balance sheet information from November 1999 to July 2017 to estimate whether the relative loan expansion of government-owned banks during downturns to avoid further deterioration of the economy. Our empirical results show that bank lending decisions are mainly related to the lending business they undertake. Domestic private banks have procyclical characteristics lending behavior and pay more attention to consumer loans. The government-owned banks aim to maintain the stability of the corporate funds and its lending pattern is different from domestic private banks, especially which continues to increase lending to small and medium enterprises during economic downturns. From a policy perspective, most of the enterprises in Taiwan are mainly small and medium-sized enterprises the results suggest that government-owned banks can play a useful role in stabilizing credit over business cycles as well as during periods of financial instability.

    目錄 第一章、緒論 1 第二章、背景與文獻回顧 4 第一節、台灣金融體系的發展 4 第二節、相關文獻回顧 9 第三章、資料概述與處理 12 第一節、資料來源與變數定義 12 第二節、台灣的金融體系-公股銀行與各類放款細項之資料概述 16 (一)、公股、民營與外國銀行其資產和放款之資料概述 16 (二)、全體銀行與公股和民營銀行各類放款細項之資料概述 17 第三節、公股和民營銀行其各類放款年增率的波動與景氣循環和重要金融事件之關聯性 23 (一)、總放款年增率 23 (二)、消費貸款細項年增率 25 (三)、企業放款細項年增率 28 第四章、研究方法 32 第五章、實證結果分析 35 第一節、公股與民營銀行在景氣循環下的貸放行為之異同 35 (一)、以工業生產指數年增率(ipi_growth)作為景氣循環變數 35 (二)、以工業生產指數缺口(ipi_gap)作為景氣循環變數 36 第二節、公股與民營銀行在金融危機事件發生期間的放款決策 40 (一)、本土金融風暴的影響 40 (二)、雙卡風暴的影響 41 (三)、全球金融海嘯的影響 41 第三節、公股與民營銀行貸放行為差異之成因 44 第六章、結論 49 參考文獻 51 附錄 54

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