研究生: |
陳冠名 Chen, Kuan-Ming |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
q 因子模型在台灣股票市場有效性檢驗 Validation of q-Factor Model in Taiwan Securities Market |
指導教授: |
余士迪
Yu, Shih-Ti |
口試委員: |
蔡子晧
Tsai, Tzu-Hao 紀志毅 Chi, Chih-Yi 郭啓賢 Kuo, Chii-Shyan |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 財務金融 Master Program of Finance and Banking |
論文出版年: | 2020 |
畢業學年度: | 108 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 60 |
中文關鍵詞: | q因子定價模型 、市場異常現象 、資產定價 |
外文關鍵詞: | q factor model, Anomalies, Asset pricing |
相關次數: | 點閱:2 下載:0 |
分享至: |
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
Hou et al. (2015) 等學者基於公司金融學的淨現值方法基礎上,從經濟學Tobin’s Q理論企業實體投資的角度提出了 q 因子模型後研究發現在美國股票市場中,投資中市值股票、低投資率公司股票與高獲利公司股票應獲得更高的預期報酬,本文試圖採用multiple regression analysis 和GRS檢定研究 q 因子模型對台股八項市場異常報酬之解釋能力,並採用產業投資組合對比分析比較 q 因子定價模型與Fama & French因子定價模型在台股之適用性,最後本文以 mean-variance spanning test對市場異象做效率前緣擴張差檢驗及計算夏普比率變動情況。本文使用 2009年1月至 2019年12月取自Taiwan Economic Journal 客製化數據資料以台灣證券交易所上市股票月報酬資料進行研究,本研究實證結果顯示 q 因子定價模型對台灣八項種市場異常效應之投資組合具有較高的解釋能力,從定價因子的來看,市場因子、規模因子及獲利因子對市場異常現象效應之投資組合較具解釋能力,而投資因子、規模因子與獲利因子對小規模股票投資組合的報酬率解釋能力較佳,本文也發現價值因子可能是多餘的因子,能夠被其他因子所解釋。因此整體來說 q 因子定價模型可以作為未來學術理論以及資產配置的基礎模型,但也有待後續學者研究對更多的股市異常現象進行研究。
Hou et al. (2015) based on the net present value method of corporate finance, the q factor model was proposed from the perspective of economic Tobin's Q theory of corporate entity investment. The study found that in the US stock market, investing in mid-cap company stocks, low-investment company stocks and high-profit company stocks should receive higher expected returns. This paper attempts to use multiple regression analysis and GRS test research q factor model to explain the abnormal returns of the eight stock markets in Taiwan and use industry portfolio comparative analysis to compare of q factor pricing model and Fama & French factor pricing model in Taiwan stocks. In the end, this paper uses mean-variance spanning to test expansion of the efficient frontier with market anomaly effect portfolio and calculate the change of Sharpe ratio. This study used data from the Taiwan Economic Journal from January 2009 to December 2019 to study the monthly returns of stocks listed on the TWSE. The empirical results show that the q-factor pricing model has a high explanatory power for Taiwan ’s eight kinds of market abnormal effect portfolios. The market anomaly effect portfolio is more capable of explaining from the perspective of pricing factors, market factors, scale factors and profit factors. Small-cap portfolio returns are more interpretable from market factors, scale factors and profit factors. This paper also found that the value factor may be an extra factor that can be explained by other factors. Therefore, the q factor pricing model can be used as a basic model for future academic theories and asset allocation. However, the further research will be required to study more stock market abnormalities.
中文文獻
方毅、孟佶賢、曲俊雪 (2019) , 「基於市場異象的多因子定價模型比較研究」, 數量經濟研究, 2019, 10 (01) : 82-96。
曲俊雪 (2018) , 「Q 因子定價模型對股票市場異象的解釋」, 吉林大學數量經濟系學位論文。
林天中 (1998) , 「台灣股票市場三因子:系統風險、公司規模及淨值市價比實證研究」, 國立清華大學經濟研究所碩士學位論文。
洪榮華、雷雅淇 (2002) , 「公司規模, 股價, 益本比, 淨值市價比與股票報酬關係之實證研究」, 管理評論, 21 (3), 25-48。
張尊悌 (1996) , 「貝它、公司規模及淨值市價比三因子評價模型之研究:以台灣股市為例」, 國立清華大學經濟研究所碩士學位論文。
畢少剛 (2015) , 「Q - 三因子模型在中國A股市場適用性研究」, 哈爾濱工業大學金融學系學位論文。
謝孟哲 (2016) , 「台灣股票報酬與五因子模型之關係」,中正大學財務金融學系學位論文。
顧廣平 (2005) , 「單因子, 三因子或四因子模式 ?」, 證券市場發展季刊, 17 (2), 101-146。
英文文獻
Aharoni, G., Grundy, B., & Zeng, Q. (2013), “Stock returns and the Miller Modigliani valuation formula: Revisiting the Fama French analysis,” Journal of Financial Economics, 110(2), 347-357.
Ball, R. (1978), “Anomalies in relationships between securities' yields and yield-surrogates,” Journal of Financial Economics, 6(2-3), 103-126.
Banz, R. W. (1981), “The relationship between return and market value of common stocks,” Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3-18.
Barillas, F., & Shanken, J. (2018), “Comparing asset pricing models,” The journal of finance, 73(2), 715-754.
Basu, S. (1977), “Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price‐earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis,” The journal of finance, 32(3), 663-682.
Basu, S. (1981), “The relationship between earnings' yield, market value and return for NYSE common stocks: Further evidence.”
Black, F., Jensen, M. C., & Scholes, M. (1972), “The capital asset pricing model: Some empirical tests,” Studies in the theory of capital markets, 81(3), 79-121.
Breeden, D. T. (1979), “An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities,” Journal of Financial Economics, 7(3), 265-296.
Brzeszczyński, J., & Gajdka, J. (2007), “Dividend-driven trading strategies: evidence from the Warsaw stock exchange,” International Advances in Economic Research, 13(3), 285-300.
Campbell, J. Y., Grossman, S. J., & Wang, J. (1993), “Trading volume and serial correlation in stock returns,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(4), 905-939.
Carhart, M. (1997), “On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance,” Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82.
Chan, K., & Chen, N. F. (1991), “Structural and return characteristics of small and large firms,” The journal of finance, 46(4), 1467-1484.
Chen, L., & Novy-Marx, R. (2011), “An alternative three-factor model,” Social Science Research Network.
Chen, L., & Zhang, L. (2010), “A better three-factor model that explains more anomalies,” Journal of Finance, 65(2), 563-595.
Cochrane, J. H. (1991), “Production‐based asset pricing and the link between stock returns and economic fluctuations,” The journal of finance, 46(1), 209-237.
Cochrane, J. H. (1996), “A cross-sectional test of an investment-based asset pricing model,” Journal of Political Economy, 104(3), 572-621.
Cooper, M. J., Gulen, H., & Schill, M. J. (2008), “Asset growth and the cross‐section of stock returns,” The journal of finance, 63(4), 1609-1651.
Daniel, K., Grinblatt, M., Titman, S., & Wermers, R. (1997), “Measuring mutual fund performance with characteristic‐based benchmarks,” The journal of finance, 52(3), 1035-1058.
Daniel, K., Hirshleifer, D., & Sun, L. (2019), “Short- and Long-Horizon Behavioral Factors,” The Review of Financial Studies. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhz069
Davis, J. L. (1994), “The cross‐section of realized stock returns: The pre‐COMPUSTAT evidence,” The journal of finance, 49(5), 1579-1593.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. (1985), “Does the stock market overreact?,” The journal of finance, 40(3), 793-805.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1987), “Further evidence on investor overreaction and stock market seasonality,” The journal of finance, 42(3), 557-581.
DeBondt, W., & Thaler, R. (1987), “Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock.”
Fama, E. F. (1998), “Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance,” Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283-306.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992), “The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns,” Journal of Finance. doi:10.2307/2329112
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993), “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds,” Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1996), “Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies,” The journal of finance, 51(1), 55-84.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2006), “Profitability, investment and average returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, 82(3), 491-518.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2008), “Dissecting anomalies,” The journal of finance, 63(4), 1653-1678.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015), “A five-factor asset pricing model,” Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2018), “Choosing Factors,” Journal of Financial Economics, 128(2), 234-252.
Gibbons, M. R., Ross, S. A., & Shanken, J. (1989), “A test of the efficiency of a given portfolio,” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1121-1152.
Haugen, R. A., & Baker, N. L. (1996), “Commonality in the determinants of expected stock returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, 41(3), 401-439.
Hou, K., Chen, X., & Zhang, L. (2015), “Digesting Anomalies: An Investment Approach,” Review of Financial Studies, 28(3), 650-705.
Hou, K., Mo, H., Xue, C., & Zhang, L. (2019), “Which Factors?,” Review of Finance, 23(1), 1-35. doi:10.1093/rof/rfy032
Hou, K., & Xue, C. (2017), “A comparison of new factor models,” Fisher College of Business Working Paper(2015-03), 05.
Huberman, G., & Kandel, S. (1987), “Mean‐variance spanning,” The journal of finance, 42(4), 873-888.
James, C., & Edmister, R. (1981). The relationship among common stock returns, trading activity and market value. Retrieved from
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993), “Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency,” The journal of finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Johnson, R. S., Fiore, L. C., & Zuber, R. (1989), “The Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price–Earnings Ratios: An Update of the Basu Study,” Financial Review, 24(3), 499-505.
Kan, R., & Zhou, G. (2012), “Tests of mean-variance spanning,” Annals of Economics and Finance, 13(1), 139-187.
Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994), “Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk,” The journal of finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
Lintner, J. (1969), “The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets: A reply,” The review of economics and statistics, 222-224.
Lipe, R., & Kormendi, R. (1994), “Mean reversion in annual earnings and its implications for security valuation,” Review of quantitative finance and accounting, 4(1), 27-46.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1990), “Data-snooping biases in tests of financial asset pricing models,” The Review of Financial Studies, 3(3), 431-467.
Lucas Jr, R. E. (1978), “Asset prices in an exchange economy,” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1429-1445.
McQueen, G., Shields, K., & Thorley, S. R. (1997), “Does the “Dow-10 Investment Strategy” Beat the Dow Statistically and Economically?,” Financial Analysts Journal, 53(4), 66-72.
Merton, R. C. (1973), “An intertemporal capital asset pricing model,” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 867-887.
Novy-Marx, R. (2013), “The other side of value: The gross profitability premium,” Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), 1-28.
Reinganum, M. (1981), “Abnormal Returns in Firm Size Portfolio,” Financial Analyst Journal (March-April), 52-56.
Reinganum, M. R. (1981), “The arbitrage pricing theory: Some empirical results,” The journal of finance, 36(2), 313-321.
Roll, R. (1981), “A possible explanation of the small firm effect,” The journal of finance, 36(4), 879-888.
Rubinstein, M. (1976), “The valuation of uncertain income streams and the pricing of options,” The Bell Journal of Economics, 407-425.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964), “Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk,” The journal of finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Stambaugh, R. F., & Yuan, Y. (2016), “Mispricing Factors,” The Review of Financial Studies, 30(4), 1270-1315. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhw107
Stephen, R. (1976), “The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing,” Journal of Economic Theory, 13(3), 341-360.
Titman, S., Wei, K. J., & Xie, F. (2004), “Capital investments and stock returns,” Journal of financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39(4), 677-700.
Tobin, J. (1969), “A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory,” Journal of money, credit and banking, 1(1), 15-29.
Visscher, S., & Filbeck, G. (2003), “Dividend-yield strategies in the Canadian stock market,” Financial Analysts Journal, 59(1), 99-106.
Zhang, L. (2017), “The Investment CAPM,” European Financial Management, 23(4), 545–603.