研究生: |
呂汶芳 Lyu, Wun-Fang |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
CDS與股票二報酬連動-另一種避險策略的選擇 |
指導教授: |
張焯然
Chang, Jow-Ran |
口試委員: | |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系 Department of Quantitative Finance |
論文出版年: | 2011 |
畢業學年度: | 99 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 45 |
中文關鍵詞: | 資本結構 、信用違約交換 、避險比率 、馬可夫轉換模型 |
外文關鍵詞: | Capital Structure, Credit Default Swap, Hedge Ratio, Markov Regime Switching Model |
相關次數: | 點閱:2 下載:0 |
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本研究主要是想利用CDS與股價報酬的連動性來提出另一種避險的想法。我們藉由這次的金融風暴,以AIG的財務危機事件,對CDS的供給者探討分析其CDS的操作及風險如何分散。我們發現AIG產生財務危機的原因主要是在分散CDS的系統性風險上出了問題,所以我們想利用金融市場間,價格高度且快速的連動性,找出影響CDS報酬的重要變數-股價報酬。而之後,我們便將CDS、股價報酬二變數的關聯性,應用到CDS避險策略上,利用最小變異數避險比率的想法,訂定出固定狀態下的避險比率。同時、我們也發現CDS、股價報酬的關聯性會因不同狀態而呈現轉換、跳動的現象,在考慮此特性之後,我們引用Hamilton (1989) 提出的馬可夫狀態轉換模型 (Markov regime switching model) 來進而將避險比率延伸應用到二種狀態轉換上避險比率的制定。
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