本文的研究目的在於發展一個新的封閉型重複捕取模式，可以同時考慮時間效應、短期和長期行為反應效應，並且在所發展的重複捕取模式下，估計母體總數。本文採用的方法為：建構在二維馬可夫鏈觀念下，加入時間效應以推廣過去解釋行為反應的模式。針對此模式，本文提出三個不同的估計量：最大概似估計量、條件最大概似估計量、以及廣義估計方程估計量。為了評估所提出的模式與估計量之表現，我們利用模擬實驗進行分析，除了比較所提出的三個估計量之外，並與一維馬可夫鏈行為反應模式、一維馬可夫鏈時間行為反應模式和二維馬可夫鏈行為反應模式等，三個模式下發展出來的估計量進行比較。結果發現所提出的估計量在正確模式下，表現比傳統估計量好，但由於參數較多，有時有變異較大的狀況。

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