研究生: |
楊國華 Yang, Kuo-Hua |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
電力生產力變遷與經濟成長-以台灣為例 Electric Power Productivity Change and Economic Growth - Taking Taiwan as an Example |
指導教授: |
盧姝璇
Lu, Shu-Shiuan |
口試委員: |
林常青
Lin, Chang-Ching 林世昌 Lin, Shih-Chang |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 公共政策與管理 Master Program of Public Policy and Management |
論文出版年: | 2023 |
畢業學年度: | 111 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 55 |
中文關鍵詞: | 電價 、生產力 、台灣 |
外文關鍵詞: | Electricity price, Productivity, Taiwan |
相關次數: | 點閱:4 下載:0 |
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本篇論文採用台灣電力公司1981-2020年歷年電力行業別用電統計資料及各相關產業國內生產毛額,企圖從電力角度出發,來探討台灣生產力與經濟成長的關係。結果顯示台灣電力生產力的變化與實質電價有正向關係﹕實質電價上漲期間(2005-2014年),多數產業電力生產力的成長率高於其他時期,但電費支出佔其成本相對不高者,反應較為落後。另外,就製造業而言,在2000年前,研究與發展經費佔國民生產毛額比例(R&D佔比)和電力生產力成長率及國內生產毛額(GDP)成長率皆呈現正向關係,但在2000年之後,R&D佔比和GDP年成長率卻轉為負向關係。此結果可能隱含實質平均電價長期處於較低的情形時,没有足够的誘因促使產業提升電力生產力來提高電力資源的使用效率。雖然R&D經費的投入,可提高電力生產力,但不一定可以同時提高經濟成長率。
This paper uses Taiwan Power Company's statistical data on electricity consumption from 1981 to 2020 and the gross domestic production of various related industries, to explore the relationship between Taiwan's productivity and economic growth from the perspective of electricity. The results show that the change in Taiwan's EPP (electrical power productivity) has a positive relationship with real electricity prices: during the period when real electricity prices rose (2005-2014), the growth rate of EPP in most industries was higher than that in other periods, except those industries electricity expenditures accounted for a relatively small proportion of their costs. In addition, as far as the manufacturing industry is concerned, before 2000, the ratio of research and development expenditure to gross national product (R&D ratio) and the growth rate of electricity productivity and gross domestic product (GDP) all showed a positive relationship, but after 2000, the relationship about the ratio of R&D and the annual growth rate of GDP turned negative. This result may imply that when the real average electricity price is low for a long time, there are not enough incentives for the industry to improve EPP, which may improve the utilization efficiency of power resources. Moreover, investment in R&D may improve EPP; but may not necessarily improve the economic growth rate simultaneously.
1.台灣綜合研究院(2014),「主要國家經濟發展與電力需求成長之關係」。
2.李雅雯(2020)﹕「解釋台灣的總要素生產力」,國立清華大學經濟系碩士論文。
3.吳中書與梁啟源(2013),「提升臺灣長期總要素生產力成長之策略研究」,行政院經濟建設委員會委託研究計畫案。
4.徐嫚君(2006)﹕「考慮能源投入下之台灣各縣市總要素及部分要素及生產力」,國立陽明交通大學經營管理研究所碩士論文。
5.許勝豐(2016) ﹕「電力供給與產業發展之關係探討─經濟成長觀點研究」,國立中央大學管理學院高階主管企管碩士班碩士論文。
6.盧珠璇(2018)﹕「以數量分析方法探討台灣薪資停滯成因」,《經濟論文》,46:4,519–553。
7.Hulya Ulku: “ R&D, Innovation, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis ”, IMF Working Paper No. 04/185
8.Shu-Shiuan Lu and Yuan-Yu Chien (2020): “ Exploring the Sources of Growth and Slowdowns for Growth Successes ”, 經濟論文叢刋 (Taiwan Economic Review), 48:4 (2020), 517–546。
網路資料
1.中華民國統計資訊網(專業人士)的「多因素生產力趨勢分析報告」, https://www.stat.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=16973&ctNode=526&mp=4
2.主計處的「國民所得及經濟成長統計資料庫」,https://nstatdb.dgbas.gov.tw/dgbasAll/webMain.aspx?sys=100&funid=dgmaind&mp=4
3.政府統計資訊網的「中華民國經濟統計年報」, https://stat.ncl.edu.tw/browse.jsp?p=98001771