研究生: |
李奕鞍 Lee, Yi-An |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
隔夜報酬率與投資人情緒-以台灣市場為例 Overnight Return and Investor Sentiment: An Empirical Analysis in Taiwan Stock Market |
指導教授: |
張焯然
Chang, Jow-Ran |
口試委員: |
劉鋼
Liu, Kang 蔡璧徽 Tsai, Bi-Huei |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 計量財務金融學系 Department of Quantitative Finance |
論文出版年: | 2020 |
畢業學年度: | 108 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 39 |
中文關鍵詞: | 投資人情緒 、隔夜報酬率 、短期持續性 |
外文關鍵詞: | investment sentiment, overnight return, short-run persistence |
相關次數: | 點閱:1 下載:0 |
分享至: |
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本篇研究檢測台灣市場中隔夜報酬率是否能夠成為一個新的投資人情緒代理指標。本文利用四個不同的檢測來驗證我們的推測,結果發現,在台灣市場中隔夜報酬率存在短期持續性的現象,且此持續性依照樣本公司之難以估價的程度有正向關係,此結果符合過去文獻描述一個投資人情緒代理指標會有的特性,另外我們發現短期隔夜報酬率高的公司股票長期表現反而較差,反映出了暫時性的訂價錯誤,最後我們實際應用隔夜報酬率來解釋公司月盈餘宣告次數與投資人情緒的關聯,發現兩者呈現正向關係。綜合上述結果,我們發現在台灣市場中,隔夜報酬率能夠反映出投資人情緒的變化。
This paper examines whether overnight returns in the Taiwan stock market can become a new investor sentiment proxy. This paper uses four different tests to verify our conjecture. The results show that there is a short-term persistence in the overnight return in the market, and this persistence has a positive relationship according to the degree to which the firm is difficult to value. This result is consistent with the past literature which describe the characteristics of an investor sentiment proxy. We also find that stocks with high overnight returns underperform over the longer term, reflecting a temporary mispricing. Finally, we use overnight return to explain the relationship between the number of monthly earnings announcements and investor sentiment, and we found a positive relationship between the two variables. Based on the above results, we found that in the Taiwan stock market, overnight returns can reflect changes in investor sentiment.
Aboody, D., Even-Tov, O., Lehavy, R., & Trueman, B. (2018). Overnight returns and firm-specific investor sentiment. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53(2), 485-505.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Barber, B. M., Odean, T., & Zhu, N. (2009). Do Retail Trades Move Markets? The Review of Financial Studies, 151-186.
Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (1998). A model of investor sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 307-343.
Bergman, N. K., & Roychowdhury, S. (2008). Investor sentiment and corporate disclosure. Journal of Accounting Research, 46(5), 1057-1083.
Berkman, H., Koch, P. D., Tuttle, L., & Zhang, Y. J. (2012). Paying attention: overnight returns and the hidden cost of buying at the open. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 47(4), 715-741.
Branch, B. S., & Ma, A. J. (2012). Overnight return, the invisible hand behind intraday returns? Journal of Applied Finance (Formerly Financial Practice and Education), 22(2).
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of empirical finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Kyle, A. S. (1993). Smart money, noise trading and stock price behaviour. The Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 1-34.
Cliff, M., Cooper, M. J., & Gulen, H. (2008). Return differences between trading and non-trading hours: Like night and day. SSRN eLibrary, 32.
Hribar, P., & McInnis, J. (2012). Investor sentiment and analysts' earnings forecast errors. Management Science, 58(2), 293-307.
Hvidkjaer, S. (2008). Small trades and the cross-section of stock returns. The Review of Financial Studies, 21(3), 1123-1151.
Lan, Y., Huang, Y., & Yan, C. (2020). Investor sentiment and stock price: Empirical evidence from Chinese SEOs. Economic Modelling.
Lee, C. M., Shleifer, A., & Thaler, R. H. (1991). Investor sentiment and the closed‐end fund puzzle. The journal of Finance, 46(1), 75-109.
Lehmann, B. N. (1990). Fads, martingales, and market efficiency. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105(1), 1-28.
Luo, J.-S., & Li, C.-A. (2008). Futures market sentiment and institutional investor behavior in the spot market: The emerging market in Taiwan. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 44(2), 70-86.
Mian, G. M., & Sankaraguruswamy, S. (2012). Investor sentiment and stock market response to earnings news. The Accounting Review, 87(4), 1357-1384.
Seok, S. I., Cho, H., Park, C., & Ryu, D. (2019). Do overnight returns truly measure firm-specific investor sentiment in the KOSPI market? Sustainability, 11(13), 3718.
Weißofner, F., & Wessels, U. (2020). Overnight Returns: An International Sentiment Measure. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 21(2), 205-217.
Xiong, X., Meng, Y., Li, X., & Shen, D. (2020). Can Overnight Return Really Serve as a Proxy for Firm-Specific Investor Sentiment? Cross-Country Evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 101173.
周賓凰, 張宇志, & 林美珍. (2019). 投資人情緒與股票報酬互動關係. 證券市場發展季刊: 行為財務學特別專刊, 153.
曹壽民, 李科翰, & 吳郁聆. (2019). 投資人情緒與月盈餘揭露之關聯性. 會計學報, 8(1), 1-33.
蔡佩蓉, 王元章, & 張眾卓. (2009). 投資人情緒, 公司特徵與台灣股票報酬之研究. 經濟研究, 45(2), 273-322.