隨著微利時代的來臨，供應鏈上下游間面臨品牌廠商給予成本壓力與同質性製造商替代性高的壓力下，迫使買方需將上游賣方納入供應鏈行列，有效的快速反應供應鏈能力與降低供應鏈庫存，因此許多買方紛紛要求賣方採用供應商管理庫存(Vendor-Managed Inventory, VMI)方式，要求賣方就近提供集散中心(Hub)，將補貨與庫存責任交由賣方進行管理，以減少庫存資金積壓。而台灣企業大多身為賣方元件供應商的角色，因此本研究以賣方的觀點，藉由買方提供滾動式預測(Rolling Forecast)的資訊來做為預測補貨的方式，期望賣方能提供高服務水準下又能降低賣方Hub庫存成本為本研究探討之重點。
首先本研究利用預測補貨程序(Forecast Replenishment Procedure, FRP)來做為補貨規劃，並藉由運算表格運作方式將預測、補貨、庫存等繁雜事件，藉由簡易對應表格來運行，使各行為能清楚區分運作內容和彼此相對應之操作，提供實務上各Hub管理人員做為未來補貨規劃之參考。而FRP中安全庫存為直接影響補貨策略之關鍵，為了達到高服務水準低庫存之目標，本研究將補貨策略分為保守策略和積極策略。保守策略為依買方預定安全庫存標準來做為補貨策略，使得賣方在面臨缺貨時不需承擔高額懲罰費用；積極策略為賣方主動調整安全庫存來做為補貨策略，因此希望透過模擬分析與實驗設計與結果能夠找出穩健安全庫存策略，使得賣方在面臨買方不同需求環境下之補貨策略能夠主動調整補貨策略。
最後，在實驗分析結果求得本研究最穩健之補貨策略--動態預測總誤差安全庫存策略。在買賣雙方皆未知未來需求下，能適用在不同需求趨勢、變異環境，並接近買方預定安全庫存之較佳解，使得總成本績效能達到高服務水準下，降低庫存成本的目標。另外可比較買方所預定的安全庫存量是否高估或低估來做為補貨策略調整，提供業界作為補貨規劃的參考方法。

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