研究生: |
林秀娟 Hsiu-Chuan Lin |
---|---|
論文名稱: |
企業放款違約損失率模型之建構 Modeling Loss Given Default of Corporate Loan |
指導教授: |
張焯然
Jow-Ran Chang |
口試委員: | |
學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
系所名稱: |
科技管理學院 - 科技管理研究所 Institute of Technology Management |
論文出版年: | 2006 |
畢業學年度: | 94 |
語文別: | 中文 |
論文頁數: | 50 |
中文關鍵詞: | 違約損失率 、結構模型 、擔保品 |
外文關鍵詞: | Loss Given Default, Structure Model, Collateral |
相關次數: | 點閱:2 下載:0 |
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本論文的主要目的為根據債務人及擔保品的性質建構一個能區別 LGD 相對高低的估計模型,期望能夠作為銀行邁向採用內部評等法來計算信用風險應計資本的參考依據。本研究以結構模型為基礎,分別建構沒有擔保品、擔保品價值為固定及擔保品價值為隨機三個不同情況下 LGD 的估計模型,特別是在擔保品價值為隨機的模型中,能夠考量擔保品與公司資產價值的相關性及擔保品價值波動度對 LGD 的影響。在實證分析中觀察出擔保品與公司資產價值之間的相關性會對 LGD 有重大的影響。相同的違約機率之下,如果擔保品與公司資產價值的相關性愈大,LGD 就會愈高;除此之外,擔保品的流動性高低對 LGD 也有重要的影響,因為擔保品的流動性太低會造成違約之後的變現能力太差,讓回收價值大幅減少,使 LGD 大幅提高。
The purpose of this article is to construct a loss given default (LGD) estimation model which can discriminate LGD from different characteristics of obligation and collateral, and to offer a reference model for bank that will adopt Advance Internal Rating Based Approach to determine capital requirement of credit risk. This article is based on structured model to construct three different kinds of LGD estimation model which including the loan has no collateral, collateral value is constant and collateral value is stochastic. Specific to the model that concern collateral value is stochastic can take into account the correlation between collateral value and firm’s value, the volatility of collateral value and the volatility of assets value.
In empirical analysis we find that the correlation between collateral value and firm’s assets value has significant effect on LGD. Under the same PD, higher correlation between collateral value and firm’s assets value resulting higher LGD. The liquidity of collateral is also an important factor that effect LGD. If the liquidity of collateral is low, it is more difficult to sell collateral to third party and will increase LGD.
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