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研究生: 阮氏秋莊
論文名稱: Financial Development and Growth in Vietnam, 1990 to 2010
越南的金融發展與成長1990-2010
指導教授: 盧姝璇
口試委員: 盧姝璇
張寶塔
唐震宏
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 科技管理學院 - 國際專業管理碩士班
International Master of Business Administration(IMBA)
論文出版年: 2014
畢業學年度: 102
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 68
中文關鍵詞: 越南金融發展與成長
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  • The impact of financial development on economic growth has been documented in
    abundant studies recently. This paper examines the finance-growth relationship under the
    Vietnam's situation from two perspectives. First, I explore the growth and financial
    development relationship in Vietnam by comparing Vietnam’s data characteristics with that of
    other countries. Second, I apply Business Cycle Accounting (BCA) wedge methodology to
    explore the finance-growth causality in Vietnam. There are two major findings: (i) Vietnam’s
    relationship between income level changes and finance is stronger than relationship between
    economic growth rate and finance under global perspective; (ii) capital wedge which captures
    the evolution of financial development is the prime driving force of Vietnam’s output growth
    during 1998 to 2007 and the second important contribution during the whole studied period.


    TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................................................ i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................. ii CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 1 CHAPTER 2: COUNTRY BACKGROUND ..................................................................................... 4 2.1 Economic growth review ........................................................................................................ 4 2.2 Financial system review .......................................................................................................... 5 2.2.1 Vietnamese banking system ............................................................................................ 6 2.2.2 Vietnamese stock market .............................................................................................. 12 CHAPTER 3: LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................... 17 3.1 Literature review on finance and growth .............................................................................. 17 3.1.1 Indicators of financial development .............................................................................. 18 3.1.2 Indicators of economic growth ..................................................................................... 19 3.1.3 Empirical results of finance-growth nexus ................................................................... 20 3.2 Literature review on Vietnam’s finance-growth relationship ............................................... 21 CHAPTER 4: A DISCUSSION OF GLOBE’S AND VIETNAM’S FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................................................... 22 4.1 Interpretation of global financial development from GFDD and Vietnam’s position .......... 22 4.1.1 Financial depth .............................................................................................................. 24 4.1.2 Financial efficiency ....................................................................................................... 29 4.1.3 Financial stability .......................................................................................................... 34 4.2 Discussion of globe’s and Vietnam’s finance-growth nexus ................................................ 39 4.2.1 Global finance-growth nexus ........................................................................................ 39 4.2.2 Vietnam’s finance-growth nexus .................................................................................. 46 CHAPTER 5: VIETNAM’S FINANCE – GROWTH CAUSALITY THROUGH THE LENS OF BUSINESS CYCLE ACCOUNTING................................................................................................ 51 5.1 Literature on Business Cycle Accounting (BCA) ................................................................. 51 5.2 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 52 5.3 The model ............................................................................................................................. 54 5.4 Quantifying the model .......................................................................................................... 54 5.4.1 Data ............................................................................................................................... 54 5.4.2 Parameters ..................................................................................................................... 54 5.4.3 Assumptions .................................................................................................................. 54 5.5 Measuring results .................................................................................................................. 55 iii 5.5.1 Wedge’s value...............................................................................................................55 5.5.2 Model with wedge’s contribution ................................................................................. 56 5.5.3 The role of capital wedge .............................................................................................. 58 CHAPTER 6: CONCLUDING REMARK ....................................................................................... 62 Appendix: Data sources ...................................................................................................................... 65 References ............................................................................................................................................ 66

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