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| 研究生： |
呂靜芬 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱： |
影響產出-通膨抵換關係的因素-跨國資料的實證研究 |
| 指導教授： | 黃朝熙 |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別： |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱： |
科技管理學院 - 經濟學系 Department of Economics |
| 論文出版年： | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度： | 95 |
| 語文別： | 中文 |
| 論文頁數： | 61 |
| 中文關鍵詞： | 產出-通膨抵換關係 、菲利普曲線 、貿易開放程度 、資訊不完全 、菜單成本 、價格僵固性 |
| 外文關鍵詞： | output-inflation trade-off, Phillip curve, openness, imperfect information, menu cost, price rigidity |
| 相關次數： | 點閱：2 下載：0 |
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新凱因斯學派與新興古典學派的經濟學家，對於影響產出-通膨間的抵換關係的因素，分別提出了不同的見解。新興古典學派認為名目需求面波動的變異幅度是影響產出-通膨抵換程度的主要因素，而新凱因斯學派提出是平均通貨膨脹的大小影響產出-通膨抵換關係的程度。本文使用跨國資料，新增亞洲地區國家並且擴大樣本的範圍，重新檢測兩學派之間的爭議，驗證是否有其他影響產-通膨抵換關係的因素。本文實證分析發現，使用產出-通膨的抵換程度做為被解釋變數，若只考慮平均通膨與名目需求面的波動做為解釋變數下，迴歸結果大多數是支持新凱因斯學派的理論，顯示平均通膨是影響產出-通膨抵換關係的主要因素。但將通貨膨脹的波動值加入迴歸分析或是使用變動率的分析後，平均通膨不再具有顯著的解釋力，偏向支持新興古典學派。本文認為原始模型忽略通貨膨脹的波動對於解釋產出-通膨抵換關係的重要性，而變動率分析具有消除國家間的固定效果的益處。在以上的考量之下，本文的結論是偏向支持新興古典學派。
參考文獻
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